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NFL Week 9 Sharp Betting Picks

Written by on November 5, 2016

Another week, another set of sharp NFL betting picks. Where are the smarts looking to score big in Week 9’s NFL odds? Read on below to find out.

NFL Week 9 Sharp Betting Picks

Kansas City (-7.5) over Jacksonville, Sunday, November 06, 2016 1:00 PM ET

With it is Alex Smith or Nick Foles at quarterback this week, the Sharps appear to love what they’ve seen from the Chiefs since their bye. Jacksonville’ Blake Bortles has shown little to no development in his game compared to last season, throwing interceptions left, right and center. The Chiefs, who have a mean pass-rush unit should be able to pick the Jags QB a couple of times and even win the game on their own. But KC’s defense probably won’t need to labor that much, as Foles seemed to fit perfectly as Smith’s replacement last week and the Chiefs’ running game—as banged up as it is without Jamaal Charles—still has enough talent to bulldoze Jacksonville’s erratic front seven. Promoting their quarterback coach to offensive coordinator this week will help the Jags someday in the future, just not this Sunday against the Chiefs.

Detroit (+6.5) over Minnesota, Sunday, November 06, 1:00 PM ET

So, the Lions swept the Vikings in 2014, and then Minnesota returned the favor by sweeping Detroit in 2015. That, on paper, means that this game could go either way, depending on who shows up for it best. The problem, however, is that the Vikings started the season strongly, but have since struggled in their recent games, especially in failing to get much of an output from the Sam Bradford-led offense. The Lions, on the other hand, have been a bright spot this season, thanks to strong season by Mathew Stafford. Besides falling short in last week’s loss to the Texans, Stafford has been a largely reliable QB this season and his positivity appears to rubbing off on his teammate who are playing with better focus than last season. More notably, Minnesota’s usually-reliable defense is banged up with injuries—including Alex Boone and Eric Kendrick who are on concussion protocol. As things stand, the sharps therefore feel that the value in this game will be with the Lions, who should be able to keep the game close to cover the spread (at the very least), if not pull an outright upset.

Philadelphia (+3) over NY Giants (-3), Sunday, November 06, 1:00 PM ET

Both the Eagles and the Giants spot a similar 4-3 mark in the NFC East, but are seemingly trending on different directions. The Giants, who had a bye last week, have won their last two games, though not convincingly if we may add. The Eagles, meanwhile, are coming off an OT defeat at the hands of Dallas in a game that could have otherwise ended differently with a bit of some luck on Philly’s favor. Tale told, both teams are well-aware of the importance of winning this game if they are to keep up with Dallas in the divisional race, so a hard-fought encounter should be in the offing here. There should, however, be an extra sense of urgency for the Eagles, who will be undergoing the baptism of fire by facing the Falcons, Seahawks, Packers, and Bengals after this week. More notably, Carson Wentz had been more efficient than Eli Manning this season and the Giants QB has struggled at home against Philly, going 1-8 in his last nine home starts against the Eagles, and 3-10 overall in 13 meetings against Philadelphia. Throw in the additional fact the Giants tend to struggle when pitted against strong defensive teams—and the Eagles rank #4 in the NFL allowing just 16.7 points per game; it totally makes sense why the sharps are leaning on Philadelphia in this contest.

Dallas (-7) over Cleveland, Sunday, November 06, 1:00 PM ET

There’s really not many ways to put this; the Browns have been an outrageously bad team this season. And a big reason behind their 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS start to the season is that their Kamikaze defense is perennially suicidal, so it doesn’t matter what Josh McCown or whoever is in offense will do, as the game defense will almost-definitely undo that hard work by the end of the game. Meanwhile, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys (6-1 SU, 6-0- 1 ATS) are the definition of consistency, making plays on both sides of the ball in an efficient way. As if that is not scary enough, the Browns have one of the worst run defenses in the league while the Cowboys have a run-heavy offense. So, whichever way you look at it, this one should be a blowout win for Dallas, and both the public and the smarts are heavy on the Cowboys to get the job done handily.