The Philadelphia Eagles, established in 1933, are among the oldest NFL teams, replacing the bankrupt Frankford Yellow Jackets.
The Eagles share intense rivalries with the New York Giants, Washington Commanders, and Dallas Cowboys, all members of their NFL division.
The Eagles have made the playoffs 31 times and won their division 16 times (including 13 NFC East titles). They won three NFL Championships before the NFL-AFL merger (1948, 1949 and 1960).
The 1960 victory was the sole occurrence of an NFL team defeating Vince Lombardi’s Packers in a title game. Afterward, they faced a lengthy drought, losing Super Bowl XV.
Since 2001, they have won 11 NFC East titles and reached four Super Bowls, but only managed one championship in Super Bowl LII, with Nick Foles leading Philadelphia to victory.
The Eagles appeared in Super Bowl LVII only to watch the Kansas City Chiefs lead yet another late scoring drive and swipe the victory out of their hands.
Will the Eagles secure their second Super Bowl title in three years? Explore sports betting insights on Philadelphia’s matchup.
Super Bowl Betting: Will the Philadelphia Eagles Win the Super Bowl 59?
Why Will the Eagles Win?
After a disappointing finish in Super Bowl LVII, head coach Nick Sirianni guided the Eagles to a promising 10-1 start in 2023. However, the team’s performance declined sharply, with Jalen Hurts struggling to connect with the offense and defensive strategies failing, leading to an 11-6 finish.
The anticipated division title went to Dallas, and the Eagles lost to Tampa Bay in the wild-card playoff round. Entering 2024, the Eagles faced challenges, starting 2-2. Yet, adjustments by Sirianni propelled a turnaround, resulting in 12 wins out of 13 games to clinch the division. Saquon Barkley excelled, amassing 2,005 rushing yards and contributing significantly in the playoffs.
Philadelphia boast a fierce pass rush, which has troubled the retooled Kansas City O-line, impacted by injuries and inconsistency. Patrick Mahomes faced a career-high 36 sacks during the regular season, plus five in two playoff games. The Chiefs rotated through four starting left tackles, eventually settling on Joe Thuney, resulting in Mahomes’ season QBR of 67.6, his second lowest.
Saquon Barkley
The Eagles boast the best running game and defense, highlighted by Barkley’s 60-yard touchdown in the NFC Championship, totaling 118 yards and three touchdowns. Their dominant O-line excels at controlling the game, leading to a top time of possession (32:22). The defense excels in ball-hawking, showcasing impressive physicality on both sides of the ball.
A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith
The Eagles’ passing game lacks dynamism despite having Brown and Smith. Brown recorded 1,067 receiving yards, a modest total considering the 17-game season and favorable defensive rules. Missing four games due to injury and the team’s run-first strategy contributed to this figure. However, Brown achieved an impressive 3.3 yards per route run, ranking fourth among NFL receivers since 2007 with at least 200 routes.
ESPN’s scoring for wide receivers rated him a 99, reflecting his separation, catchability, and yards after the catch. Since 2017, no player has surpassed this score. He may excel in the Super Bowl, but the Chiefs’ defense aims to redirect passes to running backs and tight ends.
We hear a lot about Travis Kelce, the Kansas City tight end, but don’t sleep on Dallas Goedert. The Eagles’ tight end missed four weeks with a knee injury, but in the NFC Championship win over Washington, he led the Philadelphia offense in catches (7) and tied A.J. Brown with eight targets. He also had 85 receiving yards. No team gave up more receiving yards per game to tight ends than the Chiefs did.
Took command of the NFC 😏@Toyota | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/pdk8fOqA0k
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) January 26, 2025
The Comparison
Comparing the current Eagles team to the 2022 squad that narrowly lost to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII, the 2022 team showcased better running efficiency with Miles Sanders, averaging 5.9 yards per play versus 5.6 this year. The rushing offense improved to 4.9 yards per carry compared to 4.6 previously. Both teams had strong defenses, but this season, the Eagles excelled against the run. To defeat Philadelphia, the Chiefs will need to focus on their aerial attack while handling the Eagles’ pass rush.
Jalen Hurts
Some argue Hurts isn’t as skilled as Patrick Mahomes, but he doesn’t need to be. In the NFC Championship, Hurts showed accuracy under pressure. His offense demands less from him now compared to 2022, with Sanders outperforming Barkley in efficiency, yet Barkley remains more explosive than Sanders ever was.
The Philadelphia O-line has to give Hurts time in the pocket, though. Under pressure, Hurts was just 19th in the NFL in success rate when pressured and 14th in EPA (expected points added) per dropback. In similar situations, Mahomes ranked second and fourth, respectively.
^Super Bowl Betting provided by Xbet
Super Bowl Betting Winning Bets – Straight, Parlay, Teaser, and other Options
The Eagles come in as 1.5-point underdogs. If you think that their pass rush can overwhelm the Kansas City offense like Tampa Bay did in Super Bowl LV, then this point spread is a no-brainer. With a spread this small, just going with the moneyline wager makes a lot of sense as well. At this writing, you can get the Eagles at +105 to win, which means you would bet $100 to win $105 and take home $205.
^Point Total
This one sits at 48.5 after opening a point higher. There’s a sense that this is going to be more of a defensive struggle than Super Bowl LVII, which ended 38-35 in the Chiefs’ favor. Some of this has to do with the fact that the Chiefs’ offense is not as prolific as it was – and Philadelphia’s offense has gotten more conservative. As we’ve seen in this postseason, though, scoring can explode at any moment. I don’t have a good sense of which way this game will go in terms of scoring, but there are plenty of other ways to find wagering value for this game.
^How about a teaser?
Like I said earlier, you might think that the Eagles’ defense will shut down the Chiefs’ attack like they did the Commanders’. If you do, then you might want to push that point spread over to the Philadelphia side and take on a higher payout if those higher odds pay off. I actually feel pretty good about this point spread, so I don’t see a lot of reason to reduce my payout to move it in one direction or the other.
^My Analysis
I think this is going to be a back-and-forth game, and the team that has the ball last is likely to pull off the win. If the Chiefs finish the game with a touchdown or field goal to win, they will likely cover their side of that line. You could pay to move it a couple of points higher – a Philadelphia +3.5 line would likely cost you, but if you think the Chiefs will pull off another late miracle, then you would still have a lot higher chance of covering.
^Super Bowl Betting: Looking for a parlay opportunity on the Philadelphia side of the ball?
Jalen Hurts UNDER 27.5 pass attempts AND 18.5 pass completions
Despite needing to come from behind, the Eagles maintained a balanced approach, with Hurts averaging 16.5 completions in the regular season, dropping to 16 in the playoffs. A snowy game against the Rams emphasized the run, while a strong lead against Washington minimized Hurts’ workload.
^Top Props for the Eagles
One more plug for the Eagles and the point spread. They are 2-0 against the spread when they’ve been underdogs in Super Bowls. Again, though, given this tight spread, they’d almost have to win outright just to cover.
^Saquon Barkley UNDER 113.5 rushing yards
Barkley began the NFC Championship with a 60-yard touchdown run, finishing with 118 rushing yards. He rested in the fourth quarter as the game was secure. Notably, it has been 23 years since a Super Bowl featured a player with over 114 rushing yards. The Chiefs have allowed just two runs of 26 yards or more in their last 20 postseason games.
^Dallas Goedert OVER 51.5 receiving yards
Goedert averaged 49.6 receiving yards in the regular season but has improved to 62.7 yards in the playoffs after returning from injury, including 85 yards against the Commanders. The Chiefs allow the most tight end receiving yards, enhancing his value.
^A.J. Brown UNDER 4.5 receptions
Brown can dominate, but the Chiefs effectively contain Philadelphia’s passing game, focusing on Barkley, Gainwell, and Goedert while shutting down wide receivers. Despite having elite receivers like Brown and Smith, the Eagles’ conservative offense offers potential value on this prop bet.
^Chiefs. Eagles. Run it back in New Orleans. #SBLIX pic.twitter.com/ompZJTayNu
— NFL (@NFL) January 27, 2025
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