NFL Betting on end-of-season awards is a popular pastime, and now it has publicly spread to the players themselves. LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels was drafted four slots ahead of Malik Nabers, his one-time teammate. The two of them wagered $10,000 on who will walk away with the Offensive Rookie of the Year trophy after this season. Nabers first mentioned the wager on an episode of “The Pivot” podcast, hosted by Ryan Clark. In an interview with Keyshawn Johnson on the “All Facts No Brakes” podcast on Wednesday, Daniels confirmed the bet. Daniels will play for the Washington Commanders while Nabers, Daniel’s favorite receiving target at LSU, will play up Interstate 95 with the New York Giants, seeing Daniels twice a year as his NFC East rival. There is an NFL policy banning personnel from wagering on outcomes, including game scores, statistics, individual performances, or other prop bets. We’ll see how that sorts out. Let’s look at some of the most popular futures options for the coming season.
NFL Betting On the Best Futures Props for the Upcoming 2024 Season
Most Valuable Player Odds
- Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs) +600
- Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills) +900
- Joe Burrow (QB, Cincinnati Bengals) +1000
- C.J. Stroud (QB, Houston Texans) +1000
- Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens) +1300
- Jordan Love (QB, Green Bay Packers) +1400
- Justin Herbert (QB, L.A. Chargers) +1600
- Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys) +1800
- Jalen Hurts (QB, Philadelphia Eagles) +2000
- Brock Purdy (QB, San Francisco 49ers) +2000
- Trevor Lawrence (QB, Jacksonville Jaguars) +2500
- Aaron Rodgers (QB, N.Y. Jets) +2500
New York Jets
A fun dark horse pick is the Jets’ Aaron Rodgers. He will turn 41 years old this season, but he should be fresh after missing all but a few minutes of the 2023 season with a torn Achilles tendon. Will he show signs of rust after the long layoff? Can he really bounce back from such an injury at the age of 41? He is benefiting from the best in sports training science, and the Jets have quite a team around him. The defense is one of the best in the AFC, and tailback Breece Hall is both bruising and fast. The Jets have a decent receiving corps around Rodgers, and he will be a sympathetic pick if he gets a team in Gotham into actual contender status.
Houston Texans
The Texans should win the AFC South again, and if they can get to 12 or 13 wins, then C.J. Stroud will be a popular pick. The Texans brought in Stefon Diggs via trade to join Tank Dell and Nico Collins in an elite wide receiver group, and tight end Dalton Schultz had a terrific season last year as well. Joe Mixon came south to run the ball for the Texans. Stroud’s excellent decision-making as a rookie was one reason why the Texans improved from laughingstocks to division champions a year ago. If he can avoid the dreaded sophomore slump, he is a very smart pick for this trophy.
NFL Lines for MVP 2024 Season
NFL Betting On Offensive Player of the Year Odds
- Tyreek Hill (WR, Miami Dolphins) +700
- Christian McCaffrey (RB, San Francisco 49ers) +900
- CeeDee Lamb (WR, Dallas Cowboys) +1000
- Ja’Marr Chase (WR, Cincinnati Bengals) +1200
- Justin Jefferson (WR, Minnesota Vikings) +1300
- Breece Hall (RB, N.Y. Jets) +2500
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, Detroit Lions) +2500
- Saquon Barkley (RB, Philadelphia Eagles) +2800
- Pakua Nacua (WR, L.A. Rams) +3000
- Bijan Robinson (RB, Atlanta Falcons) +3000
- Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, Detroit Lions) +3500
- Jonathan Taylor (RB, Indianapolis Colts) +3500
Detroit Lions
Will the Lions’ offense do more damage on the ground or through the air? That could determine whether your smarter pick from this team is Jahmyr Gibbs or Amon-Ra St. Brown. Jared Goff did a solid job leading the Lions’ offense last year, but the balance between the running game and the passing game was an essential part of their success. The NFL has become more of a passing league, which is perhaps why St. Brown’s odds are shorter than Gibbs’. However, Gibbs took advantage of injuries to David Montgomery and emerged from a backup role to pick up 945 yards on the ground and 316 more on pass catches out of the backfield. His combination of speed and power makes him a real threat to be one of the top tailbacks in the NFL. The tailbacks ahead of him on this list either have injury issues from their past or are on teams that are going to be more pass-heavy than the Lions will be.
Christian McCaffrey
McCaffrey won this award in 2023, and his contributions to the San Francisco offense took the unit from a great group to an elite one. His combination of speed and power out of the backfield, both carrying the ball and catching passes, has jump-started the franchise from the time when the 49ers picked him up via trade from the Carolina Panthers. When it was Jimmy Garoppolo, McCaffrey made the offense better; with a more reliable Brock Purdy at the helm of the offense, McCaffrey has made them outstanding. His rushing touchdowns broke the Green Bay Packers in the divisional round of the playoffs last year, and they will break opponents again. But can he break out enough to win the award in back-to-back seasons?
Tyreek Hill
Hill is an intriguing favorite. He caught 119 balls for 1,799 yards and 13 touchdowns over 16 games last season. Tua Tagovailoa has emerged as an elite quarterback in the NFL – but his numbers aren’t big enough for him to be a favorite for NFL MVP himself. Hill has Jaylen Waddle across the formation from him; last year, he caught 72 balls for 1,356 yards and eight scores. Teams can’t clamp down on Hill with multiple personnel because of the threat that Waddle represents on the other side of the offense, and Hill has elite speed, making him a smart pick.
NFL Lines for 2024 Season
NFL Betting On Passing Yard Totals
- Patrick Mahomes 4,350.5 yards (Over -110 / Under -110)
- C.J. Stroud 4,150.5 yards (Over -125 / Under -100)
- Kirk Cousins 4,000.5 yards (Over -110 / Under -110)
Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes threw for 4,183 yards with 27 touchdowns and 14 interceptions through 16 games in 2023; he rested in the 17th game of the season ahead of the playoffs. Quarterbacks tend to stack up passing yards when they spend a lot of time playing from behind and when their offense is pass-heavy. The Chiefs have an interesting tailback in Isiah Pacheco, but Pacheco isn’t the sort of bruising back who will run for 120-150 yards with any sort of regularity. With wide receiver Rashee Rice facing a considerable suspension to start the season based on his recent incidents with law enforcement in Dallas, and with Travis Kelce another year older, the Chiefs will be looking for new receiving targets this coming season. Take the under.
CJ Stroud
Stroud threw for 4,108 yards through 15 games in 2023, posting a 23:5 TD:INT ratio, and he was the Offensive Rookie of the Year. With three elite options at wide receiver, Stroud should be able to make a lot of big plays in the pocket and while on the run. Can he throw for more yards in 2024? Expect him to get at least that 16th game in and possibly rest in the last week if the Texans have locked up a postseason slot. With Diggs coming to town, Stroud’s production should climb even higher. Take the over.
Kirk Cousins
Cousins is heading into a difficult situation. He is rehabilitating from a torn Achilles tendon; before his injury, he had thrown for just over 2,300 yards in the 2023 season. Cousins is expected to take part at 100% in offseason activities, but he also has Michael Penix Jr looking over his shoulder. The Falcons took him in the first round of the April draft, even though head coach Raheem Morris has said he looks at Cousins as the starter for several seasons. Which will turn out to be true? Will Achilles rehab work well? Will the Falcons return to a run-heavy offense? Take the under.
"He's got unbelievable vision, balance, and feel." – @MoveTheSticks
— NFL (@NFL) May 10, 2024
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