Super Bowl Game Odds: We’re just a few days away from Super Bowl LIX, between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Their showdown is a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, just two years ago, which the Chiefs won, 38-35.
The site of the game is Caesars Superdome in New Orleans as the Crescent City will host its 11th Super Bowl overall, its eighth in the Superdome, and its first since Super Bowl XLVII in 2013.
The first three Super Bowls in New Orleans were held at the old Tulane Stadium, which could seat 81,000 fans.
If that seems like a lot of seats for the home stadium of an AAC team, Tulane actually was part of the SEC until 1966 when they left due to their inability to field competitive football teams in conference play.
It’s impossible to imagine any school in the SEC voluntarily leaving today, due to the television revenue that, say, Vanderbilt gets in exchange for taking beatings from the likes of Alabama and Georgia each year (with 2024 being a bit of an exception).
The Chiefs actually won their first world championship at Tulane Stadium when they beat the Minnesota Vikings, 23-7, in Super Bowl IV, the last Super Bowl before the AFL-NFL merger.
The Vikings still haven’t won a world championship, but the Chiefs have a chance to make it three in a row if they can beat Philadelphia on Sunday.
You can catch the telecast on FOX or stream the game on Tubi. Read on to get the latest sports betting odds on the game as well as our predictions on the outcome.
NFL Betting: Super Bowl Game Odds
Details on the Game
As you can imagine, the entertainment world is descending on Super Bowl Sunday. Post Malone is the headliner for a tailgate party concert outside the Superdome with YouTube as the sponsor. Jon Batiste will sing the U.S. national anthem, and Lauren Daigle and Trombone Shorty will perform “America the Beautiful.”
“Lift Every Voice and Sing” will be performed by Ledisi. Kendrick Lamar, who was a co-headliner at the Super Bowl LVI halftime show three years ago, is the headliner for this year’s halftime show, with SZA as a guest performer.
^Super Bowl Game Odds for Kansas City
The Chiefs are favored to win by 1.5 points, and they come with a -120 moneyline. The point spread has not changed since the line opened, although the point total (48.5) has dropped from its opening (49.5).
So why should you take the Chiefs?
Jalen Hurts excelled in the NFC Championship against Washington and previously against Kansas City, but Philadelphia’s passing attack has struggled in 2024, ranking 14th in dropback success rate. They’ve masked these issues with Saquon Barkley’s elite performance and a strong shutdown defense.
The Chiefs have a tougher defense than Washington, with Kansas City DC Steve Spagnuolo bringing pressure through blitzes. Hurts’ day could be disrupted by the Chiefs’ pressure, as Spagnuolo has taken sacks against them on 13.2% of their blitzes. If the Chiefs can keep the Eagles at or behind the chains, they could outscore them.
Championships are in the details. pic.twitter.com/7ypc61zlCo
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 6, 2025
Eagles’ Defense
The Philadelphia Eagles have the best defense in the NFL, but the Chiefs have a game-changing quarterback in Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes struggled in Super Bowl LV against Tampa Bay due to a Buccaneers pass rush. The Chiefs’ offensive line has been teetering due to injuries and inconsistency this season.
Philadelphia’s Jalen Carter could dominate the game, potentially terrorizing Mahomes. Kansas City’s Trey Smith could handle Carter without assistance, allowing the Chiefs to send help to left guard Mike Caliendo. Eagles DC Vic Fangio hasn’t moved his linemen frequently, and Carter’s usual starting point is Smith. If they can manage Carter, Mahomes should have the time to cause problems in the pocket.
^Super Bowl Game Odds provided by Xbet
Xavier Worthy
Rookie wide receiver Xavier Worthy, who grew up in the Chiefs’ hurry-up offense, has made significant strides. He had a 1.21 EPA per touch or target, surpassing any player in the AFC Championship who played in five plays. Worthy’s 4.21-second 40-yard dash at the combine led some observers to believe he would run deep patterns like Hill.
He has largely been utilized near the line of scrimmage, primarily with push passes, jet sweeps, or short passes. Most targets occur within ten yards, with an average reception of 3.9 yards, but he gains over 11 yards after the catch. Expect Reid to leverage this for offensive disruption.
I’m not a big believer in intangibles in the NFL
Players’ extensive experience in high-pressure situations helps them stay focused, despite occasional individual mistakes. Intangibles are crucial for managing college football wagers. Notably, quarterback Mahomes, after leading the Chiefs to victory over the 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII, confidently predicted a three-peat. Since joining the NFL in 2018, Mahomes has lost only three playoff games, showcasing his exceptional performance under pressure.
Mahomes has faced Tom Brady twice and Joe Burrow once in overtime losses. Throughout his career, he has achieved 25 fourth-quarter comebacks and 30 game-winning drives, including seven in the playoffs. Notably, he executed game-winning drives against San Francisco in Super Bowl LIV and LVIII, as well as against Philadelphia in Super Bowl LVII. In the 2024 regular season, he led seven game-winning drives, making it challenging to argue against betting on Mahomes this time.
^Super Bowl Game Odds for Philadelphia
The Eagles are 1.5-point underdogs, and they come with an EVEN moneyline (you bet $100 to win $100 and take home $200).
So why should you take the Eagles?
In the previous 58 Super Bowls, underdogs have triumphed 21 times and covered the spread 27 times. The Eagles could exploit the Chiefs’ O-line issues, particularly at left and right tackle. While Joe Thuney has performed well at left tackle, a strategic shift by the Eagles, moving Carter to the right and partnering him with Nolan Smith Jr., may enable effective blitzing against Mahomes. This tactic could limit Mahomes’ mobility. Meanwhile, the Chiefs plan to pressure Hurts with cornerback blitzes on critical downs.
Can Hurts get the pass to the receiver who’s left open and do some damage that way?
Philadelphia’s passing game struggled in their losses, particularly evident in 2024, where they had six games with quarterbacks posting a passer rating under 90.0, finishing 3-3 in those matchups. However, they triumphed in all other games. Jalen Hurts achieved a career-best passer rating of 103.7, averaging eight yards per attempt, ranking fourth in the league. Saquon Barkley’s performance helped create space as defenses focused on stopping the run, allowing Hurts to utilize his elite receivers, DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown.
Wednesday's Injury Report#SBLIX pic.twitter.com/6dxY1Js3Cj
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) February 5, 2025
Despite Barkley’s struggles, Hurts achieved a 2-1 record, completing 73.5% of his passes for 8.5 yards per attempt, five touchdowns, and a 113.1 rating. Super Bowl threat Dallas Goedert, recovering from a knee injury, excels with yards after the catch.
The Eagles excel at forcing turnovers in the NFL, often influencing Super Bowl outcomes. They secured multiple turnovers against Washington in the NFC Championship. Kansas City’s Nikko Remigio, a rookie kick returner, has struggled with fumbles this season. The Super Bowl’s pressure might prove challenging for him as he seeks to perform.
Saquon Barkley
Don’t overlook Barkley. The Chiefs have yet to allow a tailback to gain 100 yards this season, but Barkley’s talent rivals that of Derrick Henry. Despite James Cook’s success against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship, if the Eagles maintain momentum and run effectively against Kansas City, it could control the clock and limit Patrick Mahomes’ time on the field. Notably, opponents have frequently stacked the box against Barkley, yet he still averages 4.5 yards per carry.
^Super Bowl Game Odds & Winning Pick
The Eagles might start strong against the Chiefs, replicating their Super Bowl LII strategy. They succeeded with the Philly Special to score and maintain momentum, leaving the Patriots helpless. One could contend that this current Eagles team’s skill positions surpass those of the past.
Kansas City has shown remarkable resilience throughout the season, consistently grinding out wins regardless of the opponent or location. Their only loss came against the Bills in Buffalo, but they rebounded in the AFC Championship, eliminating Josh Allen’s team. With a strong, opportunistic defense and Mahomes’ ability to dismantle defenses through both passing and rushing, the Chiefs remain formidable. The game’s pace is uncertain, making it risky to bet heavily on the point total. Ultimately, it seems that the last team with possession will secure victory, and the Chiefs will likely continue their trend of being that team.
I predict a final score of Kansas City 30, Philadelphia 27.
^Time to shine. #SBLIX https://t.co/KaJDfUCs8n
— Super Bowl (@SuperBowl) February 3, 2025
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Super Bowl Game Odds: Chiefs vs Eagles
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