If you’ve been following our sports betting content ahead of Super Bowl LV, then you know about our prediction for the big game itself — and you’ve also read about the various props you can roll with on XBet for the score at the end of the first half, as well as wagers regarding the halftime show, set to star The Weeknd. Now, let’s break the game down, quarter by quarter, because you can also bet on which team will “win” each quarter. This separates the game into the quarters and allows you to pick which team will outscore each other in that period, regardless of what the overall game score would be.
Take a look at the NFL odds for each quarter, courtesy of XBet.
NFL News: Super Bowl LV Quarter Betting Props
Who will “win” the first quarter?
Point Spread: Kansas City -0.5 (+105) / Tampa Bay +0.5 (-135)
Moneyline: Kansas City -145 / Tampa Bay +115
Over/Under 10 Over -120 / Under -110
Who will “win” the second quarter?
Point Spread: Kansas City -0.5 (-110) / Tampa Bay +0.5 (-120)
Over/Under 17 Over -110 / Under -120
Who will “win” the third quarter?
Point Spread: Kansas City -0.5 (+100) / Tampa Bay +0.5 (-130)
Over/Under 17 Over -105 / Under -125
Who will “win” the fourth quarter?
Point Spread: Kansas City -0.5 (+100) / Tampa Bay +0.5 (-130)
Over/Under 14.5 Over -110 / Under -120
The most interesting part of this set of point spreads is that, with the associated moneylines, Tampa Bay appears the favorite to win each quarter, even though Kansas City is the overall favorite to win the game. Also, Kansas City is the favorite to win the first quarter via the moneyline…but not the point spread, once you figure in the associated moneylines. That tells you how the action is going right now.
I would argue that, of the four quarters, Tampa Bay has the greatest likelihood of winning the first. Kansas City did go up 17-0 on the Buccaneers in the first quarter of their Week 12 matchup, but that has not been the Chiefs’ usual M.O. over the past couple of seasons. Starting about midway through the 2018 campaign, the Chiefs would wait for a quarter or so to get started and then throw the offense into gear. This meant that they came back from numerous early deficits. In Super Bowl LIV, that deficit lingered all the way to the fourth quarter before the Chiefs came back to defeat the San Francisco 49ers.
It’s also interesting that the fourth quarter has a lower over/under point total than the second or the third quarters. Things tend to get frenetic in the second half of Chiefs games, although the opposite has been true of Tampa Bay games, as their defense has tended to take hold of the rhythm and slow down the opposition after halftime. That happened in the two teams’ Week 12 showdown, and it has also happened in the Tampa Bay playoff wins, although the Washington Football Team pushed them hard down the stretch.
If you’re going to pick the Buccaneers to win any quarter, I would lean toward the first and the third. I think the Chiefs end up winning this game, but I also do not think it will be by much more than the three-point spread. The Buccaneers have the defense to gum up the Kansas City running game, and while the Chiefs can get pass rush on Tom Brady, it will be interesting to see how much better the Bucs play now than they did in Week 12. As far as a quarter at a time, though, I like Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Tampa Bay and Kansas City.
NFL Betting Odds
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