The Philadelphia Eagles started the season as dark horses to win Super Bowl LVII, as the opening sports betting odds for them to claim a title were +4000. The off-season moves that the Eagles made, including trading for Tennessee wide receiver A.J. Brown, impressed the wagering community, and the odds dropped to +2200. The Eagles started demolishing the competition in a schedule that, frankly, did not offer much in the way of elite competition, and the odds dropped. On December 19, when the Eagles sat at 13-1, the odds got as low as +400. Hurts went down with a shoulder injury that kept him from playing in Weeks 16 and 17, losses to Dallas and New Orleans, but a win over the Giants in Week 18, with Hurts back in the lineup, saw the Eagles enter the postseason with +500 odds. After beating the Giants again in the divisional playoff game and then taking down the 49ers in the NFC Championship, the Eagles have -120 odds to win their second world championship. Should you take the wager? Let’s take a look at the Super Bowl betting analysis for Eagles.
NFL News: The Philadelphia Eagles’ Odds of Winning Super Bowl LVII
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So far in 2022 (regular season and playoffs), the Eagles are 10-9 against the spread. They were 8-9 in the regular season. The current point spread has the Eagles as either 2- or 2 ½-point favorites to beat Kansas City, so this is not a promising trend.
Bye weeks have treated the Eagles kindly this season; they are 2-0 against the spread coming out of bye weeks. Their regular-season bye saw them take on the Pittsburgh Steelers, who had a woeful season (and who were not coming out of a bye when they took on the Eagles). Philadelphia rolled to a 35-13 home win. The divisional playoff game against the Giants saw the Eagles deliver a 38-7 rout. The Giants did not get a bye; instead, they had to travel to Minnesota the week before, where they upset the Vikings. This time around, both the Eagles and the Chiefs have off weeks to rest up and prepare for the Super Bowl, so this number may be a bit misleading.
The Eagles are 10-5 against the spread in games coming after a win this season. The last time they failed to cover in this situation came in Week 18, when they had an unexpectedly close home game against the Giants, who were starting backup Davis Webb at quarterback since they were already locked into the NFC’s sixth seed.
Since 2021, the Eagles have won 22 of 25 games straight up as the favorite.
Against AFC opponents, the Philadelphia Eagles have seen games go over the point total in eight of ten matchups since 2021.
→ Expect the Eagles to stick with the run
Jalen Hurts is always a threat to run the ball, but the injury he suffered to his throwing shoulder in Week 16 kept him out of the next two games and has clearly limited his ability to throw the ball down the field in the three games he has played since then. He ran for 39 yards and a score in the NFC Championship, a performance that included some tough quarterback sneaks. Miles Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott make up a tough trio of tailbacks for opposing defenses to stop, and while the Chiefs largely bottled up Samaji Perine and Joe Mixon in the AFC Championship, they have been vulnerable to the run this season, and in recent playoff history.
→ The Eagles’ defensive front will give the Chiefs problems
Philadelphia led the NFL in DVOA pass defense and in adjusted sack rate (11.2%). They posted 70 total sacks (regular season and playoffs combined), and by adding Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph during the season, they gave their defensive line more depth than any other team in the league. Suh was part of that Tampa Bay D-line that gave Patrick Mahomes fits in Super Bowl LV, leading to an easy win for the Buccaneers.
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