Super Bowl 59 Odds: A very Early Favorites to Win Next Season

November 23

Updated Odds to Win Super Bowl 58 in the NFL Week 12

Don’t look now, but the New York Jets are making a change at quarterback – and could be making another one in about a month. If his progress from a torn Achilles goes as scheduled, he would return to practice on December 6, with an eye toward starting on December 24 against the Washington Commanders. For now, though, the Jets have decided to send Zach Wilson to the bench and give Tim Boyle a start in their Black Friday showdown against the Miami Dolphins. Wilson has simply struggled to move the ball, and his turnovers have killed drive after drive this season, to the point where head coach Robert Saleh had to make a change, even if Boyle is not a name that many expect to lead a resurgence for the team. Going into Thanksgiving Week, let’s look at each NFL team’s Super Bowl 58 Odds to win this Season, along with our insights about some of the top teams.

Updated Odds to Win Super Bowl 58 in the NFL Week 12

The Philadelphia Eagles are now 9-1, and you can argue that they still aren’t playing their best football. They gave up five sacks to the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday night and went into the locker room down 17-7. They benefited from a number of crucial drops by Kansas City receivers, as well as some drive-killing penalties, in their comeback win. If the Eagles can get to firing on all cylinders, they could roll right over the rest of the league.

The Kansas City Chiefs have to be kicking themselves due to their failure to elevate both Isaiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the sort of dual-tailback threat that the Cleveland Browns used to have in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Edwards-Helaire is likely to leave at the end of his rookie deal; this season, he has run for only 129 yards and has averaged 3.6 yards per attempt. He had one nice 25-yard run against the Eagles but was largely absent other than that.

The Detroit Lions last started 8-2 in 1962 and have control over their own destiny in the chase for the NFC North standings. They haven’t won a division crown since 1993, but the resurgence of Jared Goff has made the difference. He has a 16:8 TD:INT ratio and 2,743 passing yards through 10 games. Can he produce in the postseason? He took the Rams to a Super Bowl, remember.

The Baltimore Ravens took advantage of quarterback injuries to deliver emphatic wins the last two weeks, thrashing Cleveland and Cincinnati. With tight end Mark Andrews out indefinitely with an ankle injury, the Ravens will need to get more out of such receivers as Rashod Bateman, who has just four touchdown catches in the last three seasons. On the season, he has just 20 receptions for 215 receiving yards, but there is room for someone to step up in Andrews’ absence, so it will be interesting to see if Bateman elevates his game.

The Dallas Cowboys look like they will make the playoffs for three straight years. The last time this happened was near the end of the 1990s’ Super Bowl run. Team owner Jerry Jones has finally announced that the coach responsible for that run, Jimmy Johnson, will enter the team’s Ring of Honor on December 30. Will the apparent end of Jerry’s petty feud against Johnson lift a curse that has kept the team out of a conference championship for almost three decades? Washington on Thanksgiving looms as a must-win; after Thanksgiving, the schedule gets scary: Seattle, Philadelphia, at Buffalo, at Miami, Detroit. They could head to Washington for their season finale crawling after a crash to 8-8, or they could be 11-5 or 12-4, pushing the Eagles late for a division title. It really all has to do with offensive line play, ball security for Dak Prescott, defensive reactions to chunk plays and the running game, and wise clock management by Mike McCarthy.

November 23, 2023

Updated Odds to Win Super Bowl 58

The San Francisco 49ers emphatically reestablished themselves as Super Bowl favorites last week, going to Jacksonville and demolishing a promising Jaguar team by the score of 34-3. The front seven got to Trevor Lawrence repeatedly and shut down the passing game, and Brock Purdy shook the interception yips that had dogged him the last three games. The Philadelphia Eagles were idle last week, which is likely why the sports betting oddsmakers shot the 49ers up the odds list past them. Let’s check the latest Super Bowl LVIII Odds for each team to win the title this year and discuss some of the contenders.

We’ll know more about the Philadelphia Eagles after the next four weeks. Will Jalen Hurts’ knee hold up? How will dealing with Kansas City, Buffalo, San Francisco and Dallas in the next four games leave their lines? Injuries have plagued those units historically for the Eagles. Philly is two games up on Dallas right now coming out of the bye, but that is a brutal gauntlet. So far, though, the 8-1 Eagles have been equal to every task.

San Francisco has a key Thanksgiving date with Seattle, a game made much more important by the 49ers’ three-game losing streak. If they get by the Seahawks, they would have a manageable path to the NFC West crown, which gives them a home playoff game at least in the first week of the postseason. The 49ers have only won twice in Seattle in the last ten seasons, but when they did it (in 2019 and last season) they won the division as well. With Brock Purdy back on track, the 49ers are a juggernaut.

Detroit continues to wow the critics after their last-second win in Los Angeles, taking down the Chargers, 41-38. They play Green Bay on Thanksgiving with a chance to sweep the divisional rivalry this year. At 7-2, the Lions are just a game out of having a bye through the first round. If Philadelphia stumbles over the next few weeks, the Lions could take advantage.

Baltimore was looking elite until they let a 31-17 lead over Cleveland turn into a 33-30 loss. Browns fans, of course, are disappointed enough to see Deshaun Watson opt for shoulder surgery despite playing extremely well the last couple of weeks, but the Ravens now need to beat Cincinnati on Thursday to cement their hold on the AFC North lead. The Ravens have elite people on defense and absolutely shut down the Lions when Detroit came to town. Their inability to finish games, though, is becoming a real problem.

Dallas has outscored opponents at home by a combined 160-50. However, their home opponents have been the Jets, the Patriots, the Chargers, the Rams and the Giants. They have another very winnable game this week at Carolina, but then they play Washington, Seattle, Philadelphia, at Buffalo, at Miami, Detroit, and at Washington. The Commanders are playing people tough and have almost beaten the Eagles twice. Given how wobbly the Cowboys have looked against tough opposition, this could get ugly.

Clayton Tune and the Arizona Cardinals made history on Sunday, but not in the way that their fans would have liked. The Cards went to Cleveland and got shut out, 27-0. It was the first time the Browns had shut out an opponent since 2007, and the Cardinals only gained 58 yards of total offense – the lowest total the team had produced since December 4, 1955. Kyler Murray is set to return to the 53-man roster on Wednesday, so if he is clear from the right ACL tear that stopped him in December, he could start next week. However, head coach Jonathan Gannon has not revealed Murray’s status. Tune got sacked seven times, fumbled it away once, and threw two picks. He threw for 58 yards, but the sacks took away 41 of those yards. The running game added 41 yards back, but Tune ran for 28 of those, as the three tailbacks combined for 13 yards. It’s fair to say that the Cardinals are not high on this list of Super Bowl LVIII Odds. Check out the latest numbers and our thoughts on some of the teams.

November 7, 2023

Updated Odds to Win Super Bowl 58: Favorites, Smart Picks, Long Shots

Super Bowl 58 Odds Favorites

Of the teams at the top of the list, the Baltimore Ravens look the most impressive. Their defense is smothering opponents, even though they don’t have any big names on the unit. They have demolished Detroit and Seattle, and they have already won at Cincinnati and Cleveland. The Philadelphia Eagles are 8-1, but their defense has taken on some water the last two weeks, allowing 61 points in wins over Washington and Dallas. Also, Jalen Hurts’ knee is clearly bothering him, so their bye comes at the right time – but can he get enough treatment in two weeks to make a difference? The Kansas City Chiefs have an upgraded defense this season, to be sure, but their offense comes and goes in spurts. That unit only generated 14 points in their win over Miami in Germany, and it really shut down after halftime. It would be encouraging to see the Patrick Mahomes show generate some 60-minute shows instead of having a hot quarter or a hot half in each game.

Smart Picks

Cincinnati is a smart pick again this year. They started the season 1-3, with the low point likely coming in Tennessee, where the Titans dealt them a shocking 27-3 beating. Now that Joe Burrow’s right calf is back approaching 100%, the Bengals have won four in a row, starting in Arizona and continuing against Seattle. After the bye came two really impressive wins – a 14-point win at San Francisco and a six-point win in prime time against Buffalo, a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. The Bengals have a ferocious pass rush, and Joe Mixon looks like he’s at full speed again. The Bengals’ Thursday night date at Baltimore on November 16 will be a huge game. Detroit lost in overtime in Week 2 against Seattle and got rolled in Baltimore two weeks ago. They have also beaten Kansas City at Arrowhead, beaten the Packers by 14 at Lambeau Field, and routed the Panthers and the Buccaneers. They come out of the bye in Los Angeles against the Chargers, and their combination of a stifling defense and a confident Jared Goff at quarterback has this team cooking. But can they get by the Eagles?

Long Shots

Dallas doesn’t really offer long-shot value, mostly because of the hype that their owner keeps putting out there and the big scores they generate against the league’s bottom-feeders. However, their losses are either baffling (Arizona) or revelatory of poor coaching, whether it’s boneheaded penalties or ridiculous time management. I would stay far away from a team that has not advanced beyond the divisional round in 28 years but still has an owner and general manager acting like he’s an expert in football operations. Cleveland got a huge day out of Deshaun Watson against Arizona in a 27-0 win that saw a crippling defense, a pounding running game, and solid execution in the passing game. Could the Browns be for real? We’ll know more in two weeks – they go to Baltimore this week and host Pittsburgh the next. If they are 7-3 (or even 6-4), momentum for a postseason run could be building.