Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2020 Season Betting Analysis

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were an enigma of a team last year. They went 7-9, putting together a transcendent 55-40 win over the Los Angeles Rams — while also losing to the dreadful New York Giants. They won four out of five down the stretch, to get to 7-7 and the edge of the playoff bubble, but then home losses to Houston and Atlanta sent them home after Week 17. Quarterback Jameis Winston became the first NFL quarterback to throw for more than 30 touchdown passes and 30 interceptions in the same year, and when it became clear that Tom Brady was willing to come to town, the Buccaneers gave Winston his release — and now he’ll be backing up Drew Brees in New Orleans. The Buccaneers have talent at wide receiver, and now they have the greatest quarterback of all time, according to many, running their offense (although at the age of 43). They also have Rob Gronkowski, back out of retirement. Sports betting enthusiasts are all over the map on the Bucs — some think that Brady will lead them to Super Bowl glory, while others think that the Bucs will have a hard time getting a wild card, in the same division with New Orleans and a possibly resurgent Carolina team.

Take a look at their NFL odds and then peruse our thoughts about Tom Brady’s next adventure.

NFL Betting News:
2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Season Betting Analysis

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Odds to Win Super Bowl LV: +1200 | Check the Odds
Odds to Win the NFC Championship: +600 | Check the Odds
Odds to Win the NFC South: +160 | Check the Odds

One big problem for Tampa Bay is their defense — particularly their secondary. Of the 32 NFL teams, they finished 30th in 2019 in passing yards permitted per game, with 270.1. A lot of this had to do with the fact that they kept giving up big plays: 57 passes for at least 20 yards, and 14 passes for at least 40 yards. Some of those plays came because of the type of game the Buccaneers ended up playing, and head coach Bruce Arians likes pass routes that go down the field. However, in Tom Brady they get a more accurate quarterback, and a more conservative one, and so the pace of games should be more reasonable.

Carlton Davis III and Jamel Dean are two of the best long defensive backs in the league. In fact, in 2019, they defended more pass attempts than any other pairing in the NFL. However, those pass attempts led to way too many big gains for the opposition. The team brought in rookie Antoine Winfield Jr to bolster the secondary. The Buccaneers love to blitz, which can leave the secondary exposed for big pass plays.

Up front, Shaquil Barrett led the NFL with 19 ½ sacks and forced six fumbles, earning a trip to the Pro Bowl. The Bucs couldn’t get a long-term deal done with him, so he’s on the franchise tag for 2020. Outside linebacker Jason Pierre Paul missed the first six weeks of the season but returned to post 8 ½ sacks in the last 10 games. He’s also back in 2020. Ndamukong Suh is also on the defensive line, along with Vita Vea, giving the Buccaneers the top rushing defense in the league a year ago, permitting just 73.8 points per game. However, there is not a lot of depth in that front seven.

Brady has two receivers that are better athletes than Julian Edelman is now. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both went over 1,100 receiving yards last season, and the team added Tyler Johnson from the University of Minnesota in the draft. He had two touchdown catches and 204 receiving yards in the Outback Bowl, and Minnesota was a loss to Wisconsin short of making it to the Big Ten Championship last year. The Buccaneers have LeSean McCoy and Leonard Fournette (just released by Jacksonville) on the roster now, and they also added Ke’Shawn Vaughn from Vanderbilt in the draft — and they also had Ronald Jones II, who is a speed runner. So Brady has plenty of options. But can they beat the Saints even one time, let alone two?

We’ll see how the defense responds, because Brady can’t lead his team to 50 points per game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Check the Season Odds

Tom Brady Stats

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Defense

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