Several of the NFL’s eight division crowns have already been settled. The Detroit Lions won the NFC North for their first division title in 30 years. The Baltimore Ravens (AFC North) and the San Francisco 49ers (NFC West) have clinched their divisions and the top seeds in their respective conferences. The Kansas City Chiefs have won the AFC West yet again, thanks in large part to the fact that no other team in their division has a winning record. That means that four divisions remain in play. Who will win them? Read on to see the NFL Division Odds for each eligible team to win the divisions in play.
Updated NFL Division Odds: Who Will Repeat?
NFC East
| Dallas Cowboys (11-5) -1600 |
| Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) +850 |
The Cowboys play the Washington Commanders in their regular-season finale, while the Philadelphia Eagles take on the New York Giants. The Cowboys are 8-0 at home and 3-5 on the road, but they haven’t had an emphatic win since Thanksgiving, when they beat these same Commanders. That game was a one-score contest until late in the third quarter, though, when the Commanders melted down. If the Cowboys beat Washington, they win the division. If they falter and the Eagles win, then the Eagles get the title. I’m taking the value here, given how inconsistent both teams have been lately.. Eagles to win.
NFC South
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) -250 |
| New Orleans Saints (8-8) +360 |
| Atlanta Falcons (7-9) +650 |
All Tampa Bay has to do to win the division crown is beat Carolina, a 2-14 team that has already clinched the top pick in next spring’s NFL draft. If they lose to the Panthers, though, then the winner of the Saints-Falcons game would win the division. Interestingly, if Atlanta wins and Tampa Bay loses, all three teams would have 8-9 records but the Falcons would advance with the best division record (3-1). In a division with so much inconsistency, it’s hard to argue that there is a smart pick at all here, but if you must bet, take Tampa Bay to win.
AFC East
| Buffalo Bills (10-6) -165 |
| Miami Dolphins (11-5) +140 |
This game is in Miami, the last Week 18 game to take place. The winner gets the AFC East crown; if the Bills lose, they are in danger of missing the playoffs altogether, thanks to their inconsistent play in the middle half of the regular season. Both of these teams are capable of crazy-good offense, while the Bills have a higher ceiling on defense. I think the Dolphins can bounce back after getting tattooed by the Ravens in Week 17. Jaylen Waddle is questionable for the game, but it’s hard to see him missing a game with this much on the line. Dolphins to win.
AFC South
| Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7) -230 |
| Houston Texans (9-7) +425 |
| Indianapolis Colts (9-7) +475 |
Jacksonville clinches the division with a win over the Tennessee Titans,, and they enter as 5 ½-point road favorites. If Jacksonville loses, then the winner of Houston and Indianapolis would take the crown. Remember that C.J. Beathard will lead the Jaguars at quarterback if Trevor Lawrence can’t go – Lawrence is day-to-day with a shoulder injury and has taken a beating in the second half of the regular season. Indianapolis may have the best quarterback situation of these three teams, even with backup Gardner Minshew running things. The Colts have Jonathan Taylor back, making their offense more dangerous. The Texans also have tailback Devin Singletary back, though, which may make their Saturday matchup with Indy more interesting than the Jacksonville-Tennessee game. Jaguars to win.
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Updated NFL Division Odds to Win this 2023/24 Season
NFL Division Odds: One of the biggest headlines in the 2023 NFL season is the season-ending injury to Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. He tore a ligament in his right wrist when throwing a short touchdown pass to Joe Mixon and left the game. Soon after halftime, he was ruled out. Now, the offense goes into the hands of backup quarterback Jake Browning, who led the Washington Huskies to big offensive numbers but has little pro experience. He went 8 of 14 for 68 yards and a score in relief of Burrow, but the Bengals still lost to Baltimore, 34-20. This makes two quarterbacks in three days from the AFC North to be done for the season, following Cleveland signal-caller Deshaun Watson having season-ending shoulder surgery after an injury that also occurred against Baltimore. Let’s look at each NFL team’s current sports betting odds to win their respective divisions and talk about some picks that may go against the grain.
AFC East AFC North
- Miami Dolphins -450 Baltimore Ravens -250
- Buffalo Bills +400 Pittsburgh Steelers +400
- N.Y. Jets +1400 Cleveland Browns +500
- New England Patriots +40000 Cincinnati Bengals +7500
AFC South AFC West
- Jacksonville Jaguars -250 Kansas City Chiefs -1800
- Houston Texans +275 L.A. Chargers +1300
- Indianapolis Colts +1400 Las Vegas Raiders +3000
- Tennessee Titans +3000 Denver Broncos +6000
NFC East NFC North
- Philadelphia Eagles -550 Detroit Lions -1200
- Dallas Cowboys +375 Minnesota Vikings +750
- Washington Commanders +20000 Green Bay Packers +4000
- N.Y. Giants +50000 Chicago Bears +15000
NFC South NFC West
- New Orleans Saints -120 San Francisco 49ers -500
- Atlanta Falcons +275 Seattle Seahawks +360
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +275 L.A. Rams +3000
- Carolina Panthers +25000 Arizona Cardinals +40000
AFC East
The Buffalo Bills sit at 5-5 and are on a two-game losing streak that just saw the team jettison its offensive coordinator. Despite talent on the O-line, the team is making mistake after mistake. Even so, they are just 1 ½ games behind the Miami Dolphins and are just a couple of botched plays from being 7-3. This team doesn’t have to do much right to get to the playoffs. With a +78 point differential, the Bills know how to pour it on, and they have too much talent not to catch Miami.
AFC North
With Deshaun Watson and Joe Burrow out, the only other starting quarterback besides Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson is Pittsburgh’s Kenny Pickett. Baltimore is 8-3, and while Pittsburgh is 6-3, they have a -26 point differential. The Ravens’ moneyline is only going to offer less and less value as the season wears on.
AFC South
Jacksonville has just a 1-3 record at EverBank Stadium this year. They benefited from playing two consecutive games in London, and they were already a team accustomed to the transition to England and back as they do it yearly. Their offensive line is weak and was exposed again by the 49ers last week. I like Houston, behind C.J. Stroud and with a new culture brought in by DeMeco Ryans, to catch the Jaguars and shock the league with a division title.
AFC West
Seriously? Kansas City doesn’t offer enough value on this moneyline, but no one else will catch them.
NFC East
Unless Jalen Hurts’ knee causes him to miss time, neither Dallas nor Washington can catch the Philadelphia Eagles.
NFC North
Don’t look now, but the Minnesota Vikings have a five-game winning streak – and the last two wins have come with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback. Does this mean they can catch the Detroit Lions? I don’t think so, but this could be a fun wild-card team.
NFC South
If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can figure out how to run the ball, they will win the NFC South. If they can’t, the Saints will sneak off with the title.
NFC West
San Francisco and Seattle have identical 6-3 records. The 49ers’ point differential is the best in the NFC at +109. The Seahawks? -1. That’s right, three games over .500 with a minus-1 point differential. The 49ers went through a three-game skid but seemed to have worked out their issues when they throttled Jacksonville last week, so the division title seems safe with them.
