With almost a month to go until the start of the season, take a look at the NFL Future Props we have for you! Every season, the NFL provides some surprises – not just for the sports betting community, but for fans at large.
In 2023, perhaps the biggest surprise was Baker Mayfield having better statistics than Tom Brady as the Tampa Bay quarterback.
If you compare Brady’s numbers in 2022 to Mayfield’s in 2023, Mayfield posted a better win-loss record, more passing yards per attempt, a better TD:INT ratio, and a higher rating.
He looked as good as he did in Cleveland in 2020, the last year he was healthy there. Another surprise came from Kansas City, where the Chiefs had a top-ten defense and still had their worst record after 14 games in any season with Patrick Mahomes as the starting quarterback.
We now know that the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl, but it took a late revival as the Baltimore Ravens had the best record in the AFC going into the playoffs.
Let’s look at some interesting props with some value going into this fall.
NFL Future Props for the 2024 Season | NFL Odds
Bryce Young OVER 3175.5 regular-season passing yards
Yes, Young was near the bottom of the NFL in almost every passing statistic in 2023. For the sports bettor, though, that only means that improvement is coming.
Last year’s O-line was ridiculous; in the off-season, the team added Damien Lewis and Robert Hunt. Wide receiver Diontae Johnson is the X player, and Xavier Legette’s speed puts him on the other side of the formation.
New head coach Dave Canales is known for his ability to revive Baker Mayfield and Geno Smith, and he could do the same thing with the former Alabama phenom.
Even with his struggles last year, Young still threw for 2,877 yards, so not that much improvement is needed for him to hit the over here.
^Ladies and gents
— IAmWestsideFetti 💙🖤🤟🏾 (@4MR_Fetti) August 18, 2024
Bryce Young is going to get, at the minimum 2 seasons with Canales. We not replacing him before 2026 if he doesn’t pan out. https://t.co/ti2r0RSFKJ
Chris Godwin OVER 850.5 total regular-season receiving yards
Godwin has four 1,000-yard seasons in the last five years. Without Tom Brady, he led all Tampa Bay wide receivers in catches with 83 and had 385 yards after the catch.
New OC Liam Coen comes from the Sean McVay school of thought, which means Godwin should move to the inside. That could mean fewer yards per route, but it should also boost his efficiency.
He is at his best as a slot receiver, and his best seasons (2020-2022) came when his slot share percentage was over 55%.
He played all 17 games in 2023, so if he can stay healthy again, this “over” should be a no-brainer.
^Derrick Henry OVER 10.5 regular-season rushing touchdowns
Last year, the Tennessee Titans ranked 28th in total yards per game and 26th in points scored per game. Henry saw an eight-man front just about every time he lined up behind the quarterback.
In 2023, 35% of his runs came against loaded boxes. He still finished in double digits for touchdowns.
Now he has moved on to Baltimore, where he doesn’t just have a credible quarterback – he has Lamar Jackson, with multiple MVP trophies on his mantle.
Gus Edwards ran for 13 touchdowns last season. Henry is much more of a threat at tailback than Edwards is.
^Jake Ferguson OVER 675.5 regular-season receiving yards
Jake Ferguson is the top tight end in the Dallas offense. After Dalton Schultz joined Houston via free agency, Ferguson became Dak Prescott’s second-favorite target after CeeDee Lamb, catching 71 balls for 761 yards and five scores.
During the playoffs, he converted 10 of 12 targets into catches, picking up 93 yards and three touchdowns, perhaps the lone bright spot in that embarrassing home playoff loss to Green Bay.
The Cowboys didn’t add any significant pass catchers in the off-season, and Brandin Cooks turns 31 this year. That opens up opportunities for Ferguson.
He should get at least 90 looks, which means he should catch at least 70 passes. If he averages just 10 yards per catch, that pushes him past this total easily.
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NFL Future Props for the 2024/25 Season
We’re less than two months away from the annual Hall of Fame Game, and we’re just over three months away from the first regular-season game of the 2024 season, when the Baltimore Ravens will visit the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship game. The NFL draft has come and gone, and most of the big free-agent signings that are going to happen have been signed and sealed. With mandatory team minicamps coming up next, it’s time to start taking a closer look at some of the top online betting opportunities in NFL Future Props. Check out our thoughts on some of the opportunities for you to add cash to your betting balances.
Analyzing Top NFL Future Props for the 2024 Season
Philadelphia Eagles to Win Super Bowl LIX
The Eagles are even with their NFC East competitors, the Dallas Cowboys, at +1700 on several books. The NFC teams with shorter odds are San Francisco (+600) and Detroit (+1200). The 49ers and the Lions met in last year’s NFC Championship, while the Cowboys flamed out in the wild-card round, getting embarrassed at home by the Green Bay Packers, and the Eagles did even worse, finishing the season with a losing streak that took them from the top seed in the conference to the outside of the postseason in under two months.
So why the Eagles? Remember that they went to the Super Bowl two years ago and fell just short against the Kansas City Chiefs. Then they went on a 10-1 tear to start 2023. The ensuing collapse saw Nick Sirianni replace both his offensive and defensive coordinators, bringing in Kellen Moore and Vic Fangio, respectively. The team picked up tailback Saquon Barkley to give their running game more credibility and opened up the vault to pay wide receivers A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith. Quarterback Jalen Hurts won the MVP in 2022, but injuries clearly slowed him down last year. A healthy Hurts should be able to get this offense cooking again, and Fangio’s expertise should help the defense shore up the problems that struck in the second half.
Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 8.5 Wins
Mike Tomlin has been the Steelers’ head coach for 17 seasons. With Bill Belichick having left the New England Patriots, Tomlin is now the longest-lasting head coach in the league. How many losing records has Tomlin had in his time at Pittsburgh? Zero. Getting to nine wins would just mean doing what he’s always done – win at least as many as he has lost. Russell Wilson came to town via trade, which should be an upgrade over the committee of Kenny Pickett, Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges. The team might also be able to get some big plays out of Justin Fields. Tomlin might be the best head coach in the NFL not named Andy Reid, so this is an “over” that makes a lot of sense.
Tua Tagovailoa for Most Passing Yards in the Regular Season
Who gets a lot of passing yards? Quarterbacks whose teams are trailing, because you pass the ball to move the offense faster and try to catch up. Also, quarterbacks whose running games aren’t all that great. Also, quarterbacks with multiple elite wide receivers. The Dolphins have Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill running routes. They have a quarterback with deep-ball accuracy in Tagovailoa. The running game? Not that great in Miami. Tagovailoa comes with a +800 moneyline on this prop on several books, even with Jared Goff. Tagovailoa is younger than Goff, and he doesn’t have the running backs that Goff has, which means the offense will rely more on Tagovailoa. Also, it’s possible that the Dolphins will have more deficits to make up.
An interesting quarterback for this prop is Josh Allen, who is a fairly dark horse at +1800. The departure of Stefon Diggs means a huge loss on the receiving end, and Gabe Davis has also moved on. Allen is also known to take off with the ball and use his size and strength to run for big gains. Last year, though, Goff was second in passing yards with 4,575. His big weapons are back, but Jahmyr Gibbs seems like a real threat to take the running game and make it prevalent in the offense.
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Most Receiving Yards in the Regular Season
The Lions will have a huge offense in 2024. Some of the other players with shorter odds than St. Brown for this prop include Tyreek Hill (+600), CeeDee Lamb (+700), Ja’Marr Chase (+900) and A.J. Brown (+1000). Hill has to share catches with the likes of Jaylen Waddle when he’s not being double-teamed, so while I like Hill to get over 1,000 yards, receivers who get more touches than Hill will are likely to win this prop. St. Brown will compete with tight end Sam LaPorta for catches, but there’s a difference between a wide receiver and a tight end. St. Brown was third among receivers for yardage gained last year behind Hill and CeeDee Lamb. He was in the top five in the NFL in targets (164), yards per game (94.7) and second overall in yards after catch (668).
Philadelphia Eagles for Best Regular Season Record
Remember that the NFL schedule takes your previous season’s results into account. You have to play everyone in your division twice and the members of the same divisions inside and outside your conference as everyone else in your division, but the remaining games have opponents that finished in the same place in their division as you. So the Eagles don’t have a first-place schedule to deal with this time around; that goes to the Dallas Cowboys, who won the East. Remember that they started 2023 with a 10-1 mark before collapsing into an 11-6 finish.
Bijan Robinson for Most Regular Season Rushing Yards
The quarterback situation in Atlanta is a bit confusing. The team offered Kirk Cousins a huge free-agent deal…and then went out and drafted Michael Penix Jr in the first round of the NFL draft. Either way, the quarterback situation in Atlanta is in flux. Tailback Bijan Robinson, entering his second season out of the University of Texas, showed a lot of promise last year and should break out even more in 2024.
NFL Future Props Jalen Hurts for NFL MVP
Quarterbacks win MVP awards, by and large. The quarterback who wins has to come from a great team, usually the team that takes the top seed in the conference. The Eagles are coming back as a team that will contend in the NFL. He’s shown more savvy than Brock Purdy, and he has less mileage than Jared Goff. With an off-season to get healthy (and to watch other teams go to the playoffs after the Eagles finished 2023 1-6), Hurts (at +1800) is an interesting value pick to get his second MVP trophy in three seasons.
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