Two major news items on NFL players that might affect your sports betting choices hit the wires this week. In Las Vegas, it turns out that quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo signed a wavier rather than take a physical because of issues in Garoppolo’s left foot. He had surgery on this foot right after he signed his three-year deal with the Raiders on March 17. This waiver allows the Raiders to end Garoppolo’s contract for any reason indicated in the waiver. It doesn’t look like Garoppolo will be available ahead of trainng camp, according to head coach Josh McDaniels. The other news item – that Tom Brady now has an ownership interest in the Raiders – has led to Brady’s appearance on odds list to start at quarterback for the Raiders this fall. Could TB12 be on the way back? We don’t know. In the meantime, let’s look at the NFL odds that each team has to win its respective division and talk about insights about some of these potential contenders.
NFL Betting News: Odds to Win Each Division
AFC East
- Buffalo +125
- N.Y. Jets +250
- Miami +300
- New England +750
AFC North
- Cincinnati +140
- Baltimore +240
- Cleveland +425
- Pittsburgh +450
AFC South
- Jacksonville -160
- Tennessee +350
- Indianapolis +550
- Houston +800
AFC West
- Kansas City -165
- L.A. Chargers +340
- Denver +550
- Las Vegas +1100
NFC East
- Philadelphia +100
- Dallas +175
- N.Y. Giants +600
- Washington +1000
NFC North
- Detroit +130
- Minnesota +250
- Chicago +400
- Green Bay +500
NFC South
- New Orleans +130
- Atlanta +240
- Carolina +375
- Tampa Bay +550
NFC West
- San Francisco -150
- Seattle +200
- L.A. Rams +750
- Arizona +2500
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The Kansas City Chiefs seem to be a shoo-in again, especially when the quarterback instability in Las Vegas. Kansas City led the NFL in expected points added per play, and it wasn’t close. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are back, and with them, the offense is just too good.
The same goes for the Cincinnati Bengals. Joe Burrow, Tee Higgins, and Ja’Marr Chase are all back. Joe Mixon has some off-the-field issues to tie up, but Samaji Perine filled in nicely for him at times last season.
The San Francisco 49ers appear to be overrated, at lesat at this point in time. We don’t know if Brock Purdy will return at 100%, and we don’t know how good Trey Lance will be in the NFL. Without a little bit of certainty at quarterback, it’s difficult to argue that you should put down money on a team that offers such little value. An interesting team in the NFC West is the Seattle Seahawks, who just extended Geno Smith at quarterback. The Seahawks have a strong ground game, elite talent at wide receiver and upgrades on the defensive side of the ball.
In the NFC East, I would take the Philadelphia Eagles before those odds go into the negative. It’s really just Dallas Cowboys hype creating some imbalance in those divisional odds. The Cowboys still have Dan Quinn at defensive coordinator, but they are making a move to Tony Pollard at the tailback position. Pollard has speed and evasiveness, but when he’s had to be the featured back in the place of Ezekiel Elliott, he has worn down pretty easily. The Eagles got D’Andre Swift at tailback for virtually nothing around the draft, and the Eagles have basically shown that when their roster is equal to or better than the Cowboys’ in recent decades, they can finish ahead of them.
These NFC South odds are interesting. I’m not really sure why the New Orleans Saints are the favorites, as Derek Carr has not led a team to a division title in years, and it’s hard to argue that his version of gunslinging is materially better than that of Jameis Winston, who will be Carr’s backup. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in the basement in terms of odds in this division, but I wonder if that giant chip Baker Mayfield has to have on his shoulder won’t help him guide a team that has elite talent at wide receiver and tight end (as well as an underrated defense) to a crown in a division that has no teams picked to win nine or more games.
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