The Kansas City Chiefs are still the favorites to win the Super Bowl after Week 3.
They gutted out a 22-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons (and they got a lot of help from a key pass interference call that the officials overlooked).
But a win is a win, and the Chiefs are at the top of the sports betting odds lists, even though no team has ever won three straight Super Bowls.
The closest any team has gotten is the Green Bay Packers, who won the last NFL Championship and then won Super Bowls I and II. Some other teams made some major moves, though.
Dallas plummeted after getting demolished by the Baltimore Ravens’ running game (and no one was fooled by that fourth-quarter comeback that fell short).
The San Francisco 49ers are so banged up that they couldn’t even beat the Rams – who were also missing key players. Let’s look at the updated odds list as well as some thoughts about this week’s contenders.
Which Team Will Win the Super Bowl this 2024/25 Season? | Week 4 NFL
- Kansas City Chiefs +340
- San Francisco 49ers +520
- Buffalo Bills +610
- Philadelphia Eagles +880
- Detroit Lions +900
- Baltimore Ravens +1025
- Houston Texans +1025
- New York Jets +1200
- Green Bay Packers +1500
- Dallas Cowboys +1750
- Minnesota Vikings +1925
- Cincinnati Bengals +2100
- Atlanta Falcons +2600
- Pittsburgh Steelers +2600
- New Orleans Saints +2600
- Seattle Seahawks +2700
- Los Angeles Chargers +3900
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4100
- Los Angeles Rams +3900
- Chicago Bears +4900
- Miami Dolphins +5000
- Arizona Cardinals +5400
- Cleveland Browns +5400
- Indianapolis Colts +6000
- Jacksonville Jaguars +6200
- Washington Commanders +6400
- Las Vegas Raiders +9500
- Denver Broncos +19000
- New England Patriots +22000
- Tennessee Titans +24000
- New York Giants +24000
- Carolina Panthers +34000
Kansas City Chiefs
If you’re going to find a gripe with the Chiefs, it’s their red zone offense. They only have touchdowns on 44% of their drives inside the opponent’s 20 yard line, which is just 22nd best in the NFL. They have seven field goals, and tight end Travis Kelce is still looking for his first touchdown. All three KC wins have been decided by a single score, and two of them have come back to the last play. If they finish their drives, those fourth quarters are a lot less stressful.
^Buffalo Bills
The Bills are starting to look like a value pick, even though they’ve snatched that proverbial football away from Charlie Brown time and time again in the postseason. Despite losing Gabe Davis and Stefon Diggs from the wide receiver room, the offense has been phenomenal so far. Khalil Shakir has caught all 14 of the balls sent his way, and now the Bills are looking for a second bedrock receiver. Rookie Keon Coleman had to sit during the first quarter against Jacksonville for tardiness, but then he scored. Mack Hollins and Curtis Samuel have some developing to do as well. But as long as this team maintains offensive balance and Josh Allen doesn’t feel like he has to do everything himself, the turnover problem should ease.
^Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are an intriguing dark horse right now. They’re 3-0 after simply demolishing Houston at home last week, 34-7. Now they head to Lambeau Field to take on the Packers. Jordan Love is expected to return at quarterback for Green Bay, but Sam Darnold has been terrific so far at quarterback. The Vikings are scoring 26 points per game (fourth overall). The departure of Aaron Jones from Green Bay to Minnesota is one of the underreported stories of the season, at least so far. If Jones can run wild at Lambeau while wearing white and purple, you can bet that a lot more people will notice the move.
^Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are also 3-0 and, at least for now, are in first in the NFC West. However, they rank 30th in pass block win rate at 46.1%. They are 16th in sacks permitted per dropback (7.1%). Geno Smith is getting the ball out fairly quickly (2.66 seconds, which ranks sixth). Stone Forsythe takes over at right tackle this weekend; the third-stringer is taking the spot that George Fant had held. The starter, Abraham Lucas, is on the PUP list until at least the middle of the season. Once teams figure out how to leverage that weakness even more, the Seahawks may start to droop – beginning in Week 4, when they visit Detroit.
^A few changes in this week’s Power Rankings 👀
— NFL (@NFL) September 25, 2024
(by @Energizer) pic.twitter.com/kf3omU3b2r
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Updated Odds after Week 2
Win the Super Bowl with Xbet! Week 2 of the 2024 NFL regular season was all about the upset.
In a surprising turn of events during Monday Night Football, the Atlanta Falcons upset the Philadelphia Eagles by one point.
Saquon Barkley’s dropped pass prevented the Eagles from running out the clock, allowing the Falcons to score a quick touchdown, with Kirk Cousins leading the way.
The New Orleans Saints rolled Dallas, 44-19 – the 35 points they scored in the first half were the most the Cowboys had permitted before halftime in 20 years.
Kansas City did come back and beat the Cincinnati Bengals straight up (thanks to a more than iffy pass interference call on a desperation fourth-down heave), but they didn’t cover the spread.
We have each team’s updated odds to win the Super Bowl and some thoughts about a few of the contenders.
Which NFL Team Will Win the Super Bowl this 2024/25 Season?
- Kansas City Chiefs +460
- San Francisco 49ers +590
- Buffalo Bills +1050
- Houston Texans +1075
- Philadelphia Eagles +1175
- Detroit Lions +1200
- Baltimore Ravens +1375
- Dallas Cowboys +1825
- New York Jets +1825
- Cincinnati Bengals +1925
- Green Bay Packers +2500
- New Orleans Saints +2600
- Atlanta Falcons +3200
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3700
- Pittsburgh Steelers +3900
- Seattle Seahawks +3900
- Los Angeles Chargers +3900
- Minnesota Vikings +4100
- Miami Dolphins +4500
- Cleveland Browns +4700
- Chicago Bears +4900
- Jacksonville Jaguars +6200
- Arizona Cardinals +6200
- Los Angeles Rams +7000
- Las Vegas Raiders +9000
- Indianapolis Colts +9500
- Washington Commanders +14000
- Tennessee Titans +22000
- New England Patriots +24000
- Denver Broncos +36000
- New York Giants +44000
- Carolina Panthers +70000
Dark Horses
Let’s start with a couple of dark horses that looked awfully good last week. There are the Arizona Cardinals, who thumped the Rams at home, 41-10.
Kyler Murray posted the first perfect quarterback rating of his six-season career, but the team has often lacked a running game.
With James Conner at starting tailback and Emari Demercado coming on as the third-down back, the offense suddenly has balance. Demercado has been on the field for 16 of 24 third downs through two games.
He had pass blocks on four of the 10 pass plays when he was on the field, and the Cardinals have converted nine of the 16 third downs they faced with him on the field.
New Orleans Saints
Let’s also look at the Saints, who lead the NFL with 91 points scored through two games.
They are now 2-0 after routing the Carolina Panthers (expected) and the Dallas Cowboys (unexpected).
The pass defense looked vulnerable going into Week 2 thanks to the injury of cornerback Marshon Lattimore (hamstring).
However, Kool-Aid McKinstry stepped up on the outside, allowing the defense to keep Alontae Taylor in slot coverage.
Teams tend to churn through cornerbacks in this league, so McKinstry will provide needed depth the rest of the way.
With their opportunistic offense and their physical, fast defense, this is a team that could not only win the NFC South at this point but could make a deep playoff run.
Kansas City Chiefs
You can’t talk about Super Bowl odds without discussing the Chiefs.
They have a 2-0 record after impressive home wins over Baltimore and Kansas City. Rashee Rice has returned with speed, and Xavier Worthy has impressed with his touches as well.
The loss of tailback Isiah Pacheco for an extended period of time will add some pressure to the pass offense, but we’ve seen Patrick Mahomes excel under pressure for years.
One key contributor on defense and special teams has been Leo Chenal, who comes on to join the pass rush.
He has the third-highest pressure percentage (10.3%) among any Chief with at least 10 pass rushes.
He also came on the field to block on offense in short-yardage situations and appeared in 17 special teams plays.
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