Updated Super Bowl Odds after NFL Week 11

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Don’t look now, but the New England Patriots are in first place in the AFC East, and they have now won five in a row, turning a 2-4 start to a 7-4 record — and a half-game lead over the Buffalo Bills. The Indianapolis Colts are another surprisingly hot team, capping off a three-game winning streak by routing the Bills up in Buffalo. A team on the skids is the Las Vegas Raiders, who have turned a 5-2 start — and a spot atop the AFC West — into a 5-5 mark and third place in the division.

Let’s take a look at the latest NFL betting odds for each team to win the Super Bowl, along with our insights on some of the contenders.

NFL News: Updated Super Bowl Odds after Week 11

Team Odds

The Arizona Cardinals have won two of their last three, which would not be that remarkable for a 9-2 team — except these last three games have had Colt McCoy running the offense in relief of the injured Kyler Murray, and DeAndre Hopkins and Chase Edmonds have also been on the shelf. When those players return, the Cardinals should still keep winning, which puts them in the driver’s seat for the NFC’s bye after Green Bay’s loss last week.

While Green Bay lost at Minnesota last week, a game that came down to the very last play (as it seems to each week for the Vikings) is not a sign that the Pack are trending downward. Yes, the Vikings shredded the Green Bay defense, but it looked like the Packers had gotten a pick from Darnell Savage in the waning moments before a replay review overturned that. They play the Rams this week — another contender with some questions to answer — and we will know more about the Packers then.

The Baltimore Ravens may be the softest three-loss team right now. They got their seventh win against a Chicago team that doesn’t play defense — and only put up 16 points. It is true that they had Tyler Huntley leading the offense and still beat the Bears, but the Ravens also should have lost in Detroit and got demolished at home by Cincinnati. I don’t see them putting together a playoff run against tough teams.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers got Rob Gronkowski back last week, and he caught six balls for 71 yards. Antonio Brown is trending back soon. If the Bucs all can get on the field at the same time, they could once again emerge from an NFC that has a bunch of teams with talent — but doesn’t have a team that wants to get on a run.

The Dallas Cowboys are right up there with the Ravens in the contest for the softest three-loss team. They got a solid effort out of their defense against Kansas City but could only manage nine points against a Chiefs defense that has been getting torched all year long. The Cowboys’ offensive line is struggling, Ezekiel Elliott’s knee is keeping him from hitting holes, and the Cowboys won’t have Amari Cooper (COVID-19) on Thanksgiving — and might not have CeeDee Lamb (concussion) either.

The L.A. Rams only have one win against a contender — and that is Tampa Bay. In their three losses, Matthew Stafford has looked a lot more like the interception-prone gunslinger that he had become in Detroit. Their showdown with the Packers this week will show us which team is most likely to challenge Tampa Bay and Arizona in the NFC.

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