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NFL Week 1 Sure Betting Winners
Walking into work today like… #Kickoff2017 pic.twitter.com/VchgFkyQ19
— NFL (@NFL) September 7, 2017
Thursday, September 7
NEW ENGLAND (-9) over Kansas City
Let’s see — we have Tom Brady ready to enter the season in full eff-you mode (with apologies to Bill Simmons), looking to unleash another full season of offensive fury on the National Football League. His counterpart, Alex Smith, likes to lead his team up and down the field in short bursts, with runs and check-down passes moving the Chiefs in pedestrian fashion. The Patriots havethe defensive quickness to shut down that scheme — and even without Julian Edelman, they also have the big-play capacity to make life hard for Kansas City. I’m taking the Patriots in this one. NFL Week 1 Betting Trends- Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Kansas City is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City’s last 13 games
- New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games
Sunday, September 10
Atlanta (-7) over CHICAGO
You have the Falcons, who had a 25-point lead in Super Bowl LI before the whole wagon fell into the ditch — and have to have a mammoth chip on their collective shoulder. They still have Matt Ryan and Julio Jones keying an explosive offense. On defense, you still have a quick pass rush led by Vic Beasley, and a young but talented secondary. The Bears, on the other hand, don’t have an established quarterback (no matter how much money they dumped on Mike Glennon). They don’t have established players on defense. They have a good wide receiver in Cameron Meredith but don’t have the talent to get him the ball reliably. Their running game is still under construction. So there’s really no reason to suspect that the Bears can hang with Atlanta — unless that Super Bowl hangover is much worse than we thought. I’m taking the Falcons to win and cover. NFL Week 1 Betting Trends- Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
- Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games
Pittsburgh (-8.5) over CLEVELAND
The Browns have a young, exciting team — you can’t have a draft with more than 10 selections in it and come away with anything else. DeShone Kizer looks like he will bring dynamism to the offense. The defense is young and fast — so they will make some big plays, but they will also make some big mistakes. Opening with the Pittsburgh Steelers is a tall task for this young team. The Steelers made it to the AFC championship game last year and have the second-best odds of making it out of the conference to the Super Bowl this year. Le’Veon Bell is fresh off signing an eight-figure franchise tag, and he enters the season along with Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger ready to key an exciting offense. The Steelers’ defense does have its issues, particularly in the secondary, but they did put together that huge winning streak to get into the postseason a year ago, including a divisional round playoff win at Kansas City — a team that had had a bye. I like the Steelers to come in and deliver a convincing win over the Browns — and cover this spread. NFL Week 1 Betting Trends- Pittsburgh is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 games
- Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in the last 10 games
- The total wentUNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh’s last 23 games
- Cleveland is 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 games
- Cleveland is 1-18 SU in the last 19 games
- The total wentUNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 8 games
Monday, September 11
MINNESOTA (-3.5) over New Orleans
I’d give the Saints some serious consideration in this game if they were playing this down in the Big Easy. New Orleans has a terrific record in prime-time at the Superdome. However, they’re playing away from home, and they’re taking on a salty Minnesota defense. The Saints’ secondary has enough holes in it to give Vikings quarterback Sam Bradford some looks down the field, and the Vikings did add enough talent at wide receiver to give Bradford more targets. The arrival of rookie Dalvin Cook at tailback gives Bradford an easier time passing the ball. All of these factors lead to a Viking win — and cover. NFL Week 1 Betting Trends- New Orleans is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 games
- New Orleans is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games on the road
- The total went OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
- Minnesota is 14-7 ATS in the last 21 games
- Minnesota is 3-8 SU in the last 11 games
- The total went UNDER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 9 games at home