Don’t look now, but Baker Mayfield is heating up, just in time to make a playoff push with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He bounced back from a strip-sack inside his own 10-yard line on Sunday (which the Green Bay Packers promptly cashed in for a touchdown) with a drive that featured four straight completions, ending with a 19-yard scoring strike to Mike Evans. For the game, he became just the second quarterback ever to post a perfect 158.3 passer rating at Lambeau Field (the other was Aaron Rodgers). Now, if the Bucs (7-7) win out, they will win the NFC South, an outcome that didn’t seem likely after the team laid eggs in losses at Houston and Indianapolis. Going into NFL Week 16, don’t miss our sports betting picks.
2023 NFL Week 16 ATS Picks
| Buffalo Bills (-13.5) at L.A. Chargers (O/U 42.5) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (O/U 44.5) |
| Las Vegas Raiders (+10) at Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 43) |
| Baltimore Ravens (+5.5) at San Francisco 49ers (O/U 45.5) |
NFL Week 16 Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers
When: Saturday, December 23, 8:00 pm ET
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV/Live Stream: Peacock
James Cook ran all over the Dallas Cowboys last week, showing that the Bills were wise to make their offense revolve around the run. Their defense was solid on all three levels, and the Bills are peaking at just the right time to make a playoff run and even catch Miami for the AFC East lead. The Chargers have an interim coach in Giff Smith after that embarrassment against the Raiders on national television, but they still have a lot of holes on defense and a lot of key players on the injured list. Bills to win and cover.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
When: Sunday, December 24, 2023, 4:05 pm ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
TV/Live Stream: CBS
Trevor Lawrence is in the concussion protocol and is doubtful for Sunday’s game. The Jaguars are already in a three-game skid that has turned what should have been an easy jaunt to the AFC South crown into a dogfight as Houston and Indianapolis have joined the Jaguars with identical 8-6 records. The good news for the Jaguars is that they are 5-1 on the road this season, but can C.J. Beathard lead the Jaguars past the Buccaneers? I’m not sure that either signal-caller can at this point. Buccaneers to win.
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs MNF
When: Monday, December 25, 1:00 pm ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TV/Live Stream: CBS
The Raiders head to Kansas City riding the heady momentum of a 63-21 shellacking of the L.A. Chargers last week, a game in which they set a franchise record for points scored in a game. The Chiefs have had a difficult time on offense the last few weeks, although they did get things going again against the Patriots last week. They can run the ball, whether it’s Isiah Pacheco or Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Rashee Rice has given Patrick Mahomes a legitimate alternative target to Travis Kelce. How many times will Mahomes dare to target Kadarius Toney, though, after he had another crucial drop – this time, a ball that clanked off his hands and turned into a New England interception? Raiders to cover.
Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers MNF
When: Monday, December 25, 2023, 8:15 pm ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
TV/Live Stream: ESPN
Christmas Day’s NFL trilogy comes to a close with a potential Super Bowl preview. These are the two hottest teams in the NFL, and the reason the 49ers are getting more points in the spread than the three-point home field advantage is that betting enthusiasts believe that the 49ers have the more explosive and more versatile offense. The Ravens bring a solid pass defense, but Brock Purdy can hold steady and avoid poor decisions. Can the 49ers’ defense put the clamps on Lamar Jackson in crunch time? We say yes. 49ers to win and cover.
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