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The first leg of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League Quarter Final saw two of Europe’s blue blood clubs make statements – and saw two significant upsets.
Paris Saint-Germain took Aston Villa to the woodshed at home in a 3-1 shellacking, and Barcelona re-established themselves as the class of the tournament in a 4-0 rout of Borussia Dortmund. The other two matches were much more surprising, though.
Real Madrid went to Arsenal and gave up two genius-level free kicks en route to a 3-0 loss. Inter Milan went to Munich and gave Bundesliga-leading Bayern a 2-1 shocker right after Bayern had embarrassed Bayer Leverkusen in the round of 16.
What can we expect as the quarter-finals wrap up? Don’t miss our sports betting preview.
UEFA Champions League Bets for Quarterfinals, Leg 2 Schedule with Best Picks
Aston Villa (+202) vs Paris Saint-Germain (+109) (Draw +310)
Paris Saint-Germain lead on aggregate, 3-1
When: Tuesday, April 15, 3:00 pm ET
Champions Pick: PSG to win
Aston Villa actually had a lead in the first leg as Morgan Rogers sent a cross from Youri Tielemans home in the 35th minute. Then the home team woke up, and things got ugly in a hurry. Desire Doue and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia drew the hosts level and then put them ahead, and then Nuno Mendes delivered the insurance tally in the final minute of play. PSG have posted at least three goals in six of their last eight UCL matches. Can they uncork another maelstrom of offense in England? I foresee a more conservative approach as they focus on advancing and staying healthy, but I also see them taking advantage of what will have to be a desperate Aston Villa side.
^Borussia Dortmund (+234) vs Barcelona (-111) (Draw +310)
Barcelona lead on aggregate, 4-0
When: Tuesday, April 15, 3:00 pm ET
Champions Pick: Barcelona to win
Both Erik Haaland and Robert Lewandowski used to play at striker for Borussia Dortmund, but now they ply their trade elsewhere. Lewandowski showed his old team what they were missing with a brace, in between goals from Raphinha and Lamine Yamal. Dortmund have never beaten Barcelona in a European competition in six tries, and this would have to be not just a win but one of epic proportions. Barcelona not only have a stout attack but are deep at all levels. This is definitely your smart pick to win the whole thing, not just this leg.
^UEFA Champions League Bets provided by Xbet
Real Madrid (-151) vs Arsenal (+340) (Draw +310)
Arsenal lead on aggregate, 3-0
When: Wednesday, April 16, 3:00 pm ET
Champions Pick: Real Madrid to win
Declan Rice became an Internet legend for Arsenal in the first leg, curling two free kicks into the upper right-hand corner of the Real Madrid net. Mikel Merino delivered a slick finish to round out the scoring. According to Real’s Jude Bellingham, though, they were lucky that Arsenal only found the back of the net three times.
Can the magic of the Bernabeu really help Real pull off what would be an unprecedented comeback? It’s doubtful, but I see the hosts winning the second leg, even if they don’t advance.
^Inter Milan (+160) vs Bayern Munich (+150) (Draw +250)
Inter lead on aggregate, 2-1
When: Wednesday, April 16, 3:00 pm ET
Champions Pick: Inter Milan to win
Inter Milan have now scored first in nine of their last ten UCL matches – an excellent way to make victory more likely. Lautaro Martinez opened their scoring in Munich, and then Davide Frattesi delivered the shocking winner in the 88th minute. Martinez is now Inter’s all-time scorer in European Cup / Champions League play. Thomas Mueller delivered Bayern’s only goal in the 85th minute, but what looked like a draw only took a few minutes to go south.
They had not lost a Champions League match at home since April 2021, when PSG delivered a 3-2 disappointment in the first leg of their quarterfinal tie. Inter should show similar determination in the second leg – but will the moment be too big for them? I’m going with the slight value edge and the roar of the San Siro.
^These four giants are still in the race to win a treble this season! 3️⃣
— Goals ⚽ (@Goals360hub) April 15, 2025
Real Madrid
Inter Milan
Paris Saint-Germain
FC Barcelona
Who’s more likely to do it? pic.twitter.com/vrGag6Qdwp
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