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Betting World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL is the confederation of the South American national soccer teams that will compete for qualification in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The confederation has 10 teams, and the top six will advance directly to the World Cup. The seventh-place team will go into an inter-confederation two-leg playoff to advance.
CONMEBOL has one of the longer qualification processes; with 18 matches to play over a matter of over two years, it is truly a gauntlet.
After 13 of the 18 matches, Argentina leads the table with 28 points out of a possible 39, with nine wins, a draw and three losses.
If qualification ended today, Bolivia would head to an inter-confederation playoff, and Venezuela, Peru and Chile would be on the outside looking in.
Betting World Cup Qualifying Round 14 & Current Standings
Read on to get the full table as well as top sports betting picks for Matchday 14 and our thoughts on which teams will end up advancing.
CONMEBOL Qualifying Table (after 13 matches)
| RK | Team | GP | W | L | D | PTS | GF | GA | DIFF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 22 | 7 | +15 | – | – |
| 2 | Ecuador | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 5 | +8 | – | – |
| 3 | Brazil | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 12 | +7 | – | – |
| 4 | Uruguay | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 10 | +7 | – | – |
| 5 | Paraguay | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 9 | 7 | +2 | – | – |
| 6 | Colombia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 12 | +4 | – | – |
| 7 | Bolivia | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 30 | -16 | – | – |
| 8 | Venezuela | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -5 | – | – |
| 9 | Peru | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -10 | – | – |
| 10 | Chile | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | – | – |
*-would advance to CONMEBOL inter-confederation playoff
*-would be eliminated from the World Cup
^Betting World Cup Qualifying provided by Xbet
Bolivia (+129) vs Uruguay (+220) (Draw +222)
World Cup Qualifying Pick: Bolivia to win
When: Tuesday, March 25, 4:00 pm ET
Uruguay face a significant away disadvantage this week as they head to the high altitudes of Bolivia. Uruguay have not done well since the fall in the qualification process, but they should have enough of an edge to get through. Bolivia are glad to return home after taking a 3-1 beating in Peru last week – a Peru team that had been in the basement of the qualification table and had just managed three goals in their first 12 qualifying matches.
They did win in Chile back in September, ending a 67-game away losing streak in World Cup qualifiers. They’ve lost ag Argentina, Ecuador and Peru since that win, and they also failed to beat Paraguay in their last home qualifier, so their chances of getting to a World Cup final for the first time since 1994 are getting slimmer. The last time Uruguay came to Bolivia, they lost, 3-0, back in 2021.
Uruguay are taking on water, with just one win in their last seven qualifiers. Their November was outstanding as they defeated Colombia and got a draw at Brazil. It’s likely that they could get locked into the top six with one more win, but if they can’t beat Bolivia, they would only lead La Verde by four points.
^Colombia (-172) vs Paraguay (+520) (Draw +275)
World Cup Qualifying Pick: Take the draw
When: Tuesday, March 25, 8:00 pm ET
The fifth- and sixth-place teams in the qualification table meet in Bogota. Colombia lost, 2-1, at Brazil in their last qualifier, while La Albirroja shut out Chile, 1-0. That allowed Paraguay to move up past Colombia into fifth. Colombia have not made a World Cup final since 2018, but they have a solid chance here – even though they have lost three qualifiers in a row after getting at least one point out of each of their first eight matches.
They still lead Bolivia by six points for the last direct qualifying spot in the table. Interestingly, they have dropped five points in qualifiers when they have scored first, but they’ve scooped up four points in matches when their opponents tallied first. They have 19 points with 13 coming at home. In their last six dates with Paraguay, they are undefeated.
Just as Colombia’s qualification momentum has stalled, Paraguay’s has taken off, with a seven-match unbeaten streak going in qualifiers. They brought in Gustavo Alfaro as manager after crashing out of the group stage in Copa America last year, and this streak has them looking at their first World Cup finals since 2010. Their defense is their strength as they have permitted the second-fewest goals in the qualification matches to this point. They also are tied for the second-fewest goals scored, so their defense has had to stand tall. They drew Colombia on the road in 2021 and won here in 2017.
^Argentina (+125) vs Brazil (+244) (Draw +210)
World Cup Qualifying Pick: Take the draw
When: Tuesday, March 25, 8:00 pm ET
A win for Argentina would lock them into a spot in the World Cup finals. They lead the table with 28 points, seven ahead of Brazil as the Selecao are in third place. Argentina beat Uruguay on Friday despite missing Lionel Messi due to injury. Brazil have never failed to make a World Cup final, although this qualification campaign started slowly, as they lost four of their first six matches, getting just a win and a draw in the other two. Since then, they have a five-game unbeaten streak that includes wins over Chile and Peru back in October.
However, they only picked up draws against Venezuela and Uruguay in November before picking up a mammoth home win over Colombia on Thursday. The match was tied at 1-1 until Vinicius Jr nailed a goal from distance in the 99th minute to get Brazil’s latest game-winning goal in a match since 2021, when Casemiro ended Colombia’s hopes as well in the 2021 Copa America. Brazil have only won once in their last road qualifiers, along with a draw and three losses, and they haven’t beaten Argentina anywhere since 2019, when they took them down in 2-0 fashion in the Copa America semi-finals.
Lionel Messi
Messi injured an adductor with Inter Miami, which left him on the shelf against Colombia. Paulo Dybala (AS Roma) and Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan) are also on the shelf for this match, and Nico Gonzalez will have to serve a one-game ban after he took a straight red card near the end of the win over Uruguay.
However, Rodrigo De Paul got to rest against Uruguay and could be available this time around, a move which would send Leandro Paredes down to the bench. Brazil will not have goalkeeper Ederson or forward Neymar because of injuries. Bento will start in Alisson Becker’s absence. Because of Argentina’s greater attrition due to injuries, as well as Brazil’s comparative need for a win, I’m not sure Argentina can prevail here, even at home.
^Who will qualify for CONMEBOL’s World Cup slots?
Some separation has definitely developed between the top six and the rest of the table. That six-point gap between sixth-place Colombia and seventh-place Bolivia is not insurmountable, but there are only five matches left, and Bolivia has lost three and drawn one over their last four. Without a win this time around, their chances of escaping an inter-confederation playoff will just get longer and longer.
Can Venezuela catch and pass Bolivia?
They’re only a point behind them in eighth. While they have only scored 12 goals, they’ve only given up 17. Bolivia have scored 14 goals – but given up a table-worst 30. The next highest total for goals conceded is 21, and that dismal number belongs to last-place Chile.
So if anyone’s defense is ripe for an upset, it’s going to be Bolivia’s. Of course, with just 12 goals in 13 qualification matches, it’s not like Venezuela is going to explode on anyone, either.
Colombia have struggled lately, but it would take a fairly major collapse at this point to send them down past either Bolivia or Venezuela. Uruguay are also sliding, but their early wins make them seem safe.
If you’re wondering why Ecuador only have 22 points when they should have 25 (seven wins, four draws), they took a penalty for having an ineligible player in their last qualification cycle. Either way, they’re safely ensconced in second place in the table.
^Los goleadores de las #EliminatoriasSudamericanas
— CONMEBOL.com (@CONMEBOL) March 24, 2025
Os artilheiros das #EliminatoriasSudamericanas pic.twitter.com/wZ5L5vZ3aL
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