Let’s begin this Week with the Liga MX Top Bets! A new era could have begun for Monterrey with the debut of Sergio Ramos, former Real Madrid captain, in this Liga MX team. Monterrey is currently in ninth place in the Clausura 2025 tournament, which is part of its two-tournament-a-year format.
Each team plays every other team once in the regular season, with the top teams advancing to the “Liguilla”. The top six teams advance, while the next four teams enter a playoff game.
Each year, the champions are separated into “Apertura” and “Clausura”. At the end of the season, the team with the lowest average points average is relegated to Ascenso MX, where there are also two tournaments, and the winner of the playoffs is promoted to Liga MX if it meets the requirements.
If that event occurs, the team that would be relegated must pay MXN$120 million to the promoted team to help it meet future requirements and remain in Liga MX. If it cannot pay, it is relegated to Ascenso MX along with the other team.
Soccer Betting: Liga MX Top Bets for the Week 9
Let’s take a look at how things are going this week in the 2025 Clausura as you consider whether to include Liga MX action in your sports betting.
How are things going in Liga MX today?
As we mentioned earlier, Monterrey may well get a boost from adding Ramos to the roster. Elsewhere in Liga MX, Pumas welcomed Club America in a Mexico City derby, and Tigres visited Leon in a showdown featuring contenders – Leon took the win and now sit three points clear of Club America after nine matches.
Only five points separate sixth from second, though, as we are at the midpoint of the Clausura. Toluca sits in sixth with 15 points, while Club America sit in second with 20. Toluca and fifth-place Tigres (16 points) both have a match in hand, though.
Liga MX Top Bets & picks for the week
Tigres UANL -250 vs Juarez +700 (Draw +390)
Liga MX Prediction: Tigres to win
When: Tuesday, February 25, 8:00 pm ET
Tigres currently holds fifth place in the Clausura table, having won three of their last five matches. However, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Leon, conceding a seventh-minute goal by Stiven Mendoza. Despite maintaining 62% possession, Tigres managed only nine shots, five on target, and generated only three corners, indicating a lack of pressure on their opponents.
Juarez lost their last match, sitting level with Pachuca for seventh in the Clausura with 13 points. Despite winning three of their last five, they suffered a 4-0 defeat at home to Toluca, with Paulinho scoring a hat trick and Jesus Ricardo Angulo adding another goal. Juarez had 48% possession but were outshot 12-6, with only one shot on target.
Given the fact that Tigres have a disappointing loss to work out of their system, I would expect a similar lesson to take place just three days later. Obviously, Tigres to win is the smart pick, but there are some props that you might consider here instead of the relatively low value on the moneyline – Tigres to win by 2 goals (+333), three goals (+500) or even four or more goals (+650).
Mazatlan FC +300 vs CF Monterrey -105 (Draw +260)
Liga MX Prediction: Monterrey to win
When: Tuesday, February 25, 10:00 pm ET
Monterrey approaches their match against Mazatlan with a solid four-match unbeaten streak, including two consecutive victories. In their recent Matchday 8 clash, they defeated last-placed San Luis 3-1 at home. Although Ramos did not score, he attracted defenders, allowing German Berterame to net the opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Mazatlan sit in 13th place in the Clausura table with just eight points. They have a four-match winless streak going that includes three losses, including their last game at Necaxa, which ended in a 3-1 setback. Necaxa sit in third place in the table, but even though Monterrey currently occupy ninth, the arrival of Ramos makes them a lot better. Necaxa opened the scoring on Friday with a 30th-minute tally from Jose Paradela.
Jordan Sierra equalized for Mazatlán just before halftime, but Necaxa surged ahead after the break with Alan Isidro Montes Castro’s goal in the 69th minute and a late insurance goal from Diber Cambindo. Necaxa dominated the game, holding 73% possession and firing 21 shots.
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CF Pachuca -209 vs Puebla +600 (Draw +350)
Liga MX Prediction: Take the draw
When: Wednesday, February 26, 8:00 pm ET
On Wednesday night, seventh-place Pachuca hosts 13th-place Puebla. Pachuca’s recent form includes one win, a draw, and three losses, losing to Guadalajara 2-1 despite an early lead.
Alan Pulido brought Guadalajara level in the 18th minute, and then Luis Romo put the hosts ahead in the 37th. Miguel Tapias was shown a red card in the 81st minute, but Pachuca could not benefit from the man advantage over the last minutes. Pachuca possessed for 63% of the match and launched 19 shots – but just put five on target. Meanwhile, Guadalajara, who are just 10th in the Clausura table, managed seven shots – four on target. Pachuca needs to figure things out to avoid a longer tailspin.
Puebla occupies 12th place but secured a 2-0 victory against Club Tijuana. Emiliano Gomez scored from the penalty spot in the 29th minute, followed by Ricardo Marin’s goal in the 82nd minute to seal the match.
Puebla only possessed for a third of the match but launched 15 shots to 18 for Club Tijuana, and both sides put four shots on frame. This moneyline favors Pachuca a bit much, considering their recent form, but Puebla aren’t possessing enough here to make the big moneyline for the upset quite worth it to me.
^Toluca -300 vs Queretaro +900 (+475)
Liga MX Prediction: Toluca to win
When: Wednesday, February 26, 10:00 pm ET
Toluca, sixth in the Clausura table with 15 points from eight matches, face 14th-place Queretaro, who have seven points. They’ve secured three wins and two draws in their last five Liga MX games, including a 4-0 victory against Juarez, showcasing strong defensive composure despite 25 fouls and five corners.
Queretaro travels to Toluca with one win in five matches and currently on a two-match losing streak. Their recent game ended in a disappointing 1-0 loss to Cruz Azul, where they struggled defensively and were outshot 18-7. Despite a conservative backline limiting chances for Cruz Azul, Toluca appears to be the better bet for a win.
I’m looking at over 3 ½ goals (+120) and possibly even over 4 ½ goals (+275), but the fact that Toluca were able to put the clamps on Cruz Azul for so long could suggest that a 3-1 or 4-0 win might be all we could ask for. Taking Toluca to win by exactly one goal (+300) or two goals (+333) could pay big if you end up with the right margin. Going to three goals (+450) or 4+ (+450) seems a bit much given Queretaro’s penchant for loading their own area.
^Who is on top? Who are the title contenders?
In the 2024 Apertura tournament final, Club America triumphed over Monterrey, securing their third consecutive championship. Currently in second place, they trail Leon by three points, boasting a +13 goal differential and 20 goals in nine matches. Any misstep by Leon could benefit Club America, whose only setback this season was a 2-0 loss to Necaxa, attributed to defensive errors.
Alvaro Fidalgo led Club America with two goals, scored in the 50th and 59th minutes. Despite Kevin Alvarez’s red card in the 80th minute, Kevin Rosero equalized for Necaxa during extra time. Club America displayed resilience, finishing eighth in the 2024 Apertura regular season and overcoming challenges in the play-in.
Cruz Azul secured first place in the 2024 Apertura regular season with 13 wins, three draws, and a loss, earning 42 points, but failed to reach the playoff final. This year, they’re in fourth, with a vulnerable defense. Toluca, Tigres, and UNAM Pumas completed the top four.
All teams possess scoring ability but struggle defensively. Monterrey aims to recover from a rough start with Ramos’ addition. San Luis, previously sixth in the Apertura, now faces relegation threats despite reaching the semifinals last year. Their early 2025 struggles are unrelated to transfer issues, as their previously aggressive play style has diminished with the new year, impacting their performance significantly.
^🇪🇸🇲🇽 Here are the DETAILS of Sergio Ramos’ contract with Monterrey:
— GoalCentral (@GoalCentral_) February 25, 2025
💰 He will earn a salary of €4 MILLION, plus performance-based bonuses.
👤 He can choose which matches he wants to play and will receive an extra bonus for each appearance in the Club World Cup
©️ He… pic.twitter.com/aG90KDOnDs
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