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Let’s look the Liga MX betting odds for some of the top matches of the week, as well as some sports betting thoughts about which team will end up winning the Clausura half of the season.
Cruz Azul midfielder Erik Azul has become a fan favorite and a regular in the XI. He’s also contributed mightily for El Tri in international competitions
However, he’s also drawn interest from such European first-division sides as AZ Alkmaar of the Netherlands and Sporting Braga of Portugal.
Liga MX Betting Odds: Top Games to Win in the Matchday 13
He has also said that, after 128 matches played with Cruz Azul, he wants to bring home a tenth star for his Liga MX team before he considers a move to Europe.
This week, Cruz Azul visit Guadalajara as part of Matchday 13 of the 2024-25 Clausura campaign.
Toluca (-127) vs Pachuca (+295) (Draw +290)
Liga MX Prediction: Take the draw
When: Saturday, March 29, 7:00 pm ET
Fourth-place Toluca welcome seventh-place Pachuca in this matchup. Pachuca needs to climb into sixth place to have a better shot at making it into the playoffs after Matchday 17, and they got all over bottom-feeders Club Tijuana on Sunday. Santiago Homenchenko opened the scoring for the hosts in the 26th minute, and then John Kennedy made it a 2-0 lead justs seven minutes later.
Ten minutes after the intermission, Salomon Rondon made it 3-0. Jose Raul Zuniga Murillo ended the clean sheet for Club Tijuana with just a minute remaining in regulation, but then Juan Alexander Sigala Garcia restored the three-goal lead in injury time, leading to a 4-1 final. Pachuca controlled possession (57%) and outshot the visitors 20-5 (5-2 on target) while forcing nine corners to just four for Club Tijuana.
Toluca also had a big last weekend, going to Puebla and dealing out a 3-0 lesson. Jesus Gallardo tallied first for the visitors in the 15th minute. Paulinho doubled Toluca’s lead in the 57th minute, and then Alexis Vega finished the scoring from the spot five minutes later. Puebla actually outshot Toluca, 12-9, but Toluca had more on target (7-6) and dominated possession, holding the ball for two-thirds of the match. This will be an interesting matchup as both teams have plenty of offense to keep things moving. Pachuca need these points more than Toluca, but Toluca have what it takes to keep Pachuca on their heels.
^Club America (-124) vs Tigres UANL (+330) (Draw +250)
Liga MX Prediction: Club America to win
When: Saturday, March 29, 9:05 pm ET
Club America lead the Clausura table and kept the pressure on the rest of the field last week as they rolled over Atlas, 3-1, on the road. Rodrigo Aguirre got Club America on the board just two minutes after the intermission, breaking a scoreless tie, and Cristian Calderon made it 2-0 just three minutes later.
Uros Durdevic brought the hosts within a goal in the 65th minute, but then Aguirre finished his brace in the 74th minute, the same time that Atlas player Jose Hernandez was shown a red card. Atlas actually outshot Club America 22-19 (8-6 on target), but the visitors had a slight edge (54%) in possession. The game featured 32 fouls, five yellow cards and that red, so it was a physical matchup.
Tigres also put up three goals in a win last week, taking down Santos Laguna at home, 3-0, on Saturday. The first half didn’t feature any scoring, and then Tigres benefited from an own goal in the 49th minute. Juan Brunetta followed that up with a Tigres tally ten minutes later, and then Santos Laguna provided another own goal in the 71st minute. So even though Tigres outshot Santos Laguna 21-7 (7-1 on target), Santos Laguna actually made more goals for Tigres than Tigres did for themselves. Tigres dominated possession (68% of the match) and forced nine corners to zero for the visitors. While Tigres were able to dominate Santos Laguna, though, Club America are good enough to get this win at home.
^Liga MX Betting Odds provided by Xbet
Guadalajara (+206) vs Cruz Azul (+131) (Draw +222)
Liga MX Prediction: Cruz Azul to win
When: Saturday, March 29, 11:05 pm ET
Guadalajara had a disappointing 1-1 tie at Juarez on Saturday. The hosts went up early as Angel Zaldivar netted a goal for Juarez in just the sixth minute, but then Miguel Alejandro Gomez Ortiz brought the visitors level in the 80th minute and held on for the draw. Juarez outshot Guadalajara 10-6 (4-2 on target) despite the fact that Guadalajara possessed for 66% of the match.
Cruz Azul rolled over San Luis at home on Saturday, 3-0. Angel Sepulveda only needed 13 minutes to post a brace, and then Andres Montano added the insurance goal just two minutes before full-time. Cruz Azul possessed for 53% of the match but turned that into a statistical domination, outshooting San Luis, 21-10 (10-2 on target) and forcing 11 corners to just 8 for the visitors. Cruz Azul must now go on the road to face Guadalajara, but they look a lot more like they know what they want on the pitch right now.
^Liga MX Betting Odds to win the Clausura Title
- Club America +176
- Toluca +560
- Tigres UANL +600
- Cruz Azul +660
- Pachuca +900
- Monterrey +1000
- Leon +1175
- Guadalajara +2500
- Necaxa +2600
- Juarez +3300
- Pumas UNAM +4400
- Atlas +15000
- Mazatlan FC +46000
- Queretaro +50000
- Puebla +70000
- Santos Laguna +90000
- Atletico San Luis +90000
- Tijuana +90000
How it Works Mexican Soccer
Unlike European soccer, Liga MX doesn’t award its season title to the winner after the regular season. Instead, the top ten teams in the standings advance to a knockout tournament, called the Liguilla. The top six go right to the quarterfinals, while the seventh through tenth place teams enter a play-in round to figure out the seventh and eighth seeds. From that point on, each round takes place as a two-leg tie, and the winner on aggregate goal total advances. The final consists of one winner-take-all game.
Club Leon
They won seven of their first nine matches and moved into the early lead over Club America, but then they started to take on some water, and Club America moved into the lead in the Clausura table. Club Necaxa also got off to a hot start, as striker Diber Cambindo scored nine goals in the first nine games of the Clausura – more than he scored in the entire Apertura in the fall of 2024.
Play-in Tournament
After 12 matches, only four points separate first-place Club America from fourth-place Toluca, so plenty of movement in the seeding is still possible. The four play-in teams right now would be Pachuca, Monterrey, Juarez and Guadalajara, but tenth-place Guadalajara is only five points out of sixth place with five matches left on the schedule.
Top 5 Analysis
Third-place Tigres UANL have the longest current winning streak in Liga MX, at three games. Club America and Cruz Azul (fifth place) are the only teams without a defeat in their last five games. Toluca lead Liga MX with 30 goals scored, but they’ve also permitted 15 – almost twice as many as the eight that Club America have allowed. With the playoffs coming up, that means that defensive performances will tend to become more valuable as the quality on the field improves.
I would tend to prioritize teams that have allowed fewer goals and that remain hot down the stretch. Club Leon, an interesting value pick as they are just in second place, but they’ve dropped two in a row and have a reputation for flailing in the playoffs. Cruz Azul also represents decent value here and may start to see those odds shorten as they continue to pick up points each week.
^☁️️ … pic.twitter.com/o6vNbWjXUa
— Club Tigres English (@ClubTigresEN) March 23, 2025
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