AC Milan has spent 2019-20 trying to regain its former status as one of the great Italian soccer clubs. Their performance in last summer’s International Champions Cup was impressive, and they made it to the semifinals of the Coppa Italia, falling to Juventus. Their work in Serie A has been less consistent, as they are in seventh place in the table with 39 points. They have a chance to gain some ground on a team ahead of them on Sunday as they welcome AS Roma, currently in fifth place with 48 points. Take a look at our sports betting thoughts on this match if you plan to include Serie A play in your weekend wagering. Let’s see how the Serie A odds will be for the Milan vs Roma.
Serie A: AC Milan vs AS Roma (June 28)
- When: Sunday, June 28, 2020, 11:15 am ET
- Where: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
- TV: DAZN
- Radio: None
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- Serie A Odds: AC Milan 2.84 / Draw 3.58 / AS Roma 2.75
Why should you put your money on Roma?
Roma faced near disaster on Wednesday as they hosted Sampdoria, a team just a point above the Serie A relegation zone. Sampdoria opened the scoring early, as Manolo Gabbiadini tallied in the 11th minute. That 1-0 score held going into the halftime intermission. In the second half, Edin Dzeko brought Roma level in the 64th minute. It looked like Sampdoria might leave Rome with that point, but then Dzeko completed his brace in the 85th minute to complete the comeback and deliver the win.
Roma possessed for 61 percent of the match, and there was lots of offense in both directions, as Roma led in shots, 23-17 (10-9 on target). There were 25 fouls between the teams, with three yellow cards (two to Sampdoria). The teams combined for 18 corners as both sides were looking to apply offensive pressure. Sampdoria had plenty of motivation, as they seek to avoid sinking to the second division, but Roma was able to impose their will when it mattered.
Why should you bet on AC Milan?
AC Milan has an edge with two more days of rest, as they last played on Monday, when they visited Lecce. Lecce is also on the precipice of relegation, but they were not able to gain any points against AC Milan. Samu Castillejo opened the scoring for the visitors in the 26th minute, and the score was 1-0 at halftime. After halftime, Marco Mancosu brought Lecce level in the 54th minute when he converted from the penalty spot. Giacomo Bonaventura only needed a minute to give the visitors the lead again, and then Ante Rebic and Rafael Leao gave AC Milan insurance goals in their runaway 4-1 win.
AC Milan possessed for 60 percent of the match and outshot Lecce, 16-8 (11-1 on target). The teams combined for 21 fouls, with a yellow card apiece, but the real story was how AC Milan was able to flip the switch when Lecce got the benefit of the penalty call and ended up tying the game. They won’t have the luxury of waiting that long against a contender like Roma, but the fact that they looked so much more solid in their last match — and that they have two more days of rest — suggests that they are in better form here.
Milan vs Roma Final Score Prediction
The oddsmakers see this as an even call, and given their 2019-20 records, that seems like a fair evaluation. Going on the most recent action and the additional rest that AC Milan will have, it makes sense to pick them here, especially given the slight edge in value you get from wagering on the hosts. I see this match going back and forth as the teams sniff each other out, but I predict a final score of AC Milan 2, AS Roma 1.
