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Who Will Rule the Grass? Analyzing Top Seeds from Around the World at Wimbledon

Who Will Rule the Grass? Analyzing Top Seeds from Around the World at Wimbledon

Written by on July 2, 2024

The All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club has hosted the Wimbledon Championships since 1877, and the 137th edition of this venerable tournament opens the first week in July.

In an era when hardcourt surfaces have taken over the sport of tennis, Wimbledon remains the lone Grand Slam event played on outdoor grass courts.

It’s also the only event that still has a strict dress code, requiring players to wear all white when they play.

As the 2024 edition gets underway, let’s look at some of the top men’s and women’s singles players as you consider how to line up your sports betting.

Wimbledon Odds & Betting Analysis: The Top Players at Wimbledon Championships by Nationality

 

United States

Tommy Paul

Paul is the highest-ranked American right now after passing Taylor Fritz and moving into 12th. He made the semifinals at Rome and Indian Wells.

His best performance in a major so far came at the 2023 Australian Open, when he made it to the semifinals.

At Wimbledon, his best result came two years ago, when he made it to the round of 16.

Jessica Pegula

Looking for a player who hits flat, powerful groundstrokes? Pegula is another player who gets more dangerous on grass because of her approach to the ball.

She won the Berlin Open thanks to this style of play and advanced to the quarterfinals at Wimbledon last year, losing to Marketa Vondrousova, the defending champion who bowed out in the first round this year.

That hole in the draw leaves even more openings for players like Pegula to hang around.

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Belarus

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka has not played much on grass in 2024, and her withdrawal from the Berlin Open didn’t help that trend.

Her health is an issue coming into Wimbledon; when she is at 100%, Sabalenka brings major power, a significant edge on the grass. But how far will her health let her go in 2024?

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Croatia

Donna Vekic

Grass courts produce faster, lower bounces than clay courts and hardcourts, and Vekic plays a flatter ground stroke that doesn’t bounce as high anyway.

This advantage has helped her on grass courts in the past, but she’s still waiting for that major breakthrough.

In other grass events, it’s helped her get to the Berlin final in 2023 and the Bad Homburg final earlier this year, before she ran into the mammoth forehands of Petra Kvitová and Diana Shnaider, respectively.

She normally has an aggressive style, such as when she took Elena Rybakina apart at Berlin last year, but sometimes she gets passive when her opponent can hit big as well. If she can avoid that mindset, it will be interesting to see how far she goes.

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Germany

Alexander Zverev

The fourth-ranked player in the world advanced to the finals of the French Open and pushed Carlos Alcaraz to five sets before falling. He has described this year’s Wimbledon bracket as “the most open in 20 years.”

He has never gotten past the fourth round on the grass, but with Roger Federer retired, Rafael Nadal sitting this tournament out, Djokovic just returning from knee surgery, and Andy Murray also facing injury questions, Zverev has a point.

Both of his fourth-round losses at Wimbledon (in 2017 and 2023) went five sets as he fell to Milos Raonic and Felix Auger-Aliassime, respectively.

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Serbia

Novak Djokovic

Only four weeks have passed since Djokovic had a right knee operation to fix the injury that sent him out of the French Open.

He has only missed one Grand Slam tournament due to injury throughout his whole career, and that came back at 2017 when injury kept him out of the U.S. Open.

Djokovic is always a factor as long as he remains in the bracket, but it’s hard to see him making it all the way to the finals so soon after the operation.

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Poland

Hubert Hurkacz

At the Halle Open, Hurkacz made it to the final before falling to Jannik Sinner.

He won at Estoril and is currently ranked seventh in the world. He went to the semifinals here in 2021 and was the last player to beat Roger Federer at the All England Club.

Furthermore, he could meet Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals if Djokovic can stay in the tournament that long and if the seeds hold.

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Spain

Carlos Alcaraz

At some point, Alcaraz will take Novak Djokovic’s mantle as the dominant male player in tennis.

He’s already chipped away at Djokovic’s grasp, beating him in an epic five-set final at Wimbledon a year ago, becoming the youngest Wimbledon winner ever in the Open era (20 years, 72 days).

He was just the third Spaniard to win this tournament, and he’s showing no signs of slowing down.

Pablo Carreno Busta

The Spaniard returned from a hiatus that lasted almost 18 months thanks to an elbow injury to play at the French Open, and he advanced to the quarterfinals as the 17th seed.

He had actually tried to come back at ATP Challenger Tour tournaments in Alicante and Malaga near the end of 2023, but the residual pain caused him to undergo surgery.

His nice run at Roland Garros has given him confidence coming into Wimbledon.

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Italy

Jannik Sinner

When Djokovic retired at the quarterfinals of the French Open, Sinner took over the top ranking in men’s tennis.

He also won the Halle Open, a tournament played on grass and one of the more competitive warmup events ahead of Wimbledon.

He lost to Djokovic in the semifinals a year ago; this time around, he’s on the other side of the bracket from the ageless Serb, but he could see Alcaraz in the semifinal this time around, and his own path to the final is one of the toughest, if seeds hold.

Matteo Berrettini

Berrettini will see Sinner in the second round on Wednesday. Berrettini made it to the final in 2021 and has risen as high as No. 6 in the men’s rankings.

He is especially dangerous on grass, with a whopping serve and a dominant forehand, both of which benefit from the faster bounces that come on grass.

They’ve only met one time, and Sinner won in straight sets, but that was on a hardcourt surface at the Lexus ATP Head2Head event in Toronto last year.

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Poland

Iga Swiatek

In the last seven years, Wimbledon’s women’s singles title has gone to six first-time winners as the post-Serena Williams era has opened up control of the women’s game.

However, Swiatek has moved in to dominate the sport with five Grand Slam titles, four at the French Open.

Playing on grass remains an area of concern, as she took a break after the clay season rather than playing in a warmup event.

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Russia

Daria Kasatkina

Kasatkina advanced to the Berlin Open quarterfinals in 2022, and she got to the final at Eastbourne last year.

She progressed again in 2024, winning at Eastbourne, beating such players as Leylah Fernandez, Emma Raducanu and Jasmine Paolini.

Those quality wins should have given her the confidence she needs to make a deep run in London.

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Tunisia

Ons Jabeur

Jabeur has gotten to the final at Wimbledon two straight years, falling short each time.

In 2022, she was the underdog playing with house money, but she couldn’t ride that momentum past Elena Rybakina.

A year later, she was struggling with technique entering Wimbledon, but then she flipped a switch and beat Petra Kvitová, Aryna Sabalenka, and Bianca Andreescu – all former Grand Slam winners. However, she just couldn’t break through against Vondrousova.

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United Kingdom

Katie Boulter

Given that grass tennis gets more emphasis in the UK than in just about any other country, we would expect to see British players stepping out at Wimbledon.

She won the Nottingham tournament in 2023 and 2024 and got to the quarterfinals at Eastbourne last week.

Boulter fell to Rybakina in the third round at Wimbledon last year, but a friendly draw could help her make a deeper run this time around.

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