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After a trip to Mexico last week, UFC returns to Las Vegas and the UFC Apex for Saturday night’s card. The headliner pits Emmett vs Murphy Odds, with Lerone Murphy against former interim UFC Featherweight Championship challenger Josh Emmett.
The co-main event is another featherweight fight between Joanderson Brito and Pat Sabatini. The entire card will be available on ESPN and will stream on ESPN+.
Bet On UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy Odds, Prediction
Let’s look at the complete fight card as well as our sports betting suggestions for some of the key matchups.
Main Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy (Featherweight)
- Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito (Featherweight)
- Cortavious Romious vs Chang-Ho Lee (Bantamweight)
- Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Martin Buday (Heavyweight)
- Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert (Middleweight)
- Torrez Finney vs Robert Valentin (Middleweight)
Preliminary Card (ESPN / ESPN+)
- Ode’ Osbourne vs Luis Gurule (Flyweight)
- Davey Grant vs Daniel Santos (Bantamweight)
- Diana Belbita vs Dione Barbosa (Women’s Flyweight)
- Rhys McKee vs Daniel Frunza (Welterweight)
- Loma Lookboonmee vs Istela Nunes (Women’s Strawweight)
- Victory Henry vs Pedro Falcao (Bantamweight)
- Vanessa Demopoulos vs Talita Alencar (Women’s Strawweight)
^Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy! Who wins? #UFCVegas105 pic.twitter.com/hezLhKDb48
— DiaztwinsMMA (@DiaztwinsMMA) April 1, 2025
Josh Emmett (19-4, 10-4 UFC, +260) vs Lerone Murphy (15-0-1, 7-0-1 UFC, -325)
Is Murphy’s chance to get by one of the last gatekeepers in the UFC Featherweight division and get a title shot. He’s spent the last decade making a slow but steady rise in the classification. In his UFC debut against Zubaira Tukhugov, he struggled in the first round but then found his way in the second and third, pulling out the only draw in an otherwise perfect pro career.
He’s had some injuries and visa problems that have slowed him down, but he earned a main event with Edson Barboza in 2024. He got off to a great start and kept the momentum going his way. When he fought Dan Ige in October, he was surprised by Ige’s early offense, but was fortunate that Ige’s stamina ran out in the third round.
Emmett started in UFC as a lightweight before dropping to 145 pounds, where he emerged as a real problem. His striking power was elite for this classification, but the fact that it was punching and defensive wrestling that served as his only two weapons meant that his ceiling might not be all that high. He did add some flexibility and versatility to his technique, but he still ran into the speed and size of Yair Rodriguez and the technical skill of Ilia Topuria to send him to a couple of defeats in 2023.
Even so, he finished that year by delivering a violent knockout of Bryce Mitchell, showing that even though he has turned 40, he is one of the most dangerous fighters in this classification. Emmett has enough power to outweigh any margin for error that Murphy might have, which makes this line seem a little unbalanced. Emmett to win via decision.
^Joanderson Brito (17-4-1, 5-2 UFC, -205) vs Pat Sabatini (19-5, 6-2 UFC, +170)
Brings an almost wild striker in Brito against an elite grappler and wrestler in Sabatini. Brito beat Diego Lopes on Dana White’s Contender Series to get his UFC deal. The problem with Brito’s outright aggressiveness is that he ends up in spots where his opponent can get him to the ground and outwrestle him easily.
Brito does have an above-average submission game, but he often falls prey to the temptation to chase that submission on the ground instead of just delivering enough punishment toe-to-toe to get the win. Giving in to that temptation cost him in his loss to William Gomis back in September.
Sabatini came to UFC in 2021 after showing decent striking to go along with elite wrestling in the regional fight scene. He’s fought in the Octagon eight times, but he’s had to ride that wrestling a lot harder than he did before joining the promotion. A fighter who can bring a ton of offense can send Sabatini falling off the table.
Can Brito bring just enough offense to derail Sabatini without leaving himself exposed to his wrestling skills? I think that Brito will put Sabatini on his back before Sabatini can get any sort of forward momentum. Brito to win via knockout.
^Emmett vs Murphy Odds provided by Xbet
Chang-Ho Lee (10-1, 1-0 UFC, -166) vs Cortavious Romious (9-3, 0-1 UFC, +140)
Thi is Lee’s first real introduction to the promotion. He won the bantamweight “Road to UFC” tournament in 2023. Lee has struggled in fights where wrestling is the emphasis, but he has also found enough space to get some ground-and-pound in of his own or to land some blows while still in the clinch.
Romious entered MMA known as a wild finisher, but after losing in 2023 on Dana White’s Contender Series, he changed camps and returned to the show in 2024. He was able to grind out a win and got a UFC deal, but his debut was a bit of a mess as he simply looked for submissions while losing too many grappling exchanges to kickboxing specialist Gaston Bolanos.
With Romious’ athleticism, he should be able to take Lee apart from distance and make the grappling more of a draw. However, if he just goes and looks for submissions again, Lee will win easily. Lee to win via decision.
^Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-5, 8-5 UFC, -325) vs Martin Buday (14-2, 5-1 UFC, +260)
Is Nzechukwu’s latest chance to climb the heavyweight ladder after his initial foray at light heavyweight did not go particularly well. When he entered UFC in 2018, he used talent and durability to outlast his opponents and win on the cards – except when he got knocked out early.
An early 2024 loss to Ovince St. Preux showed some problems in his style as he had a winnable fight before him but never really took the initiative. However, going up to heavyweight has seen him roll over Chris Barnett and Lukasz Brzeski.
Buday is a more classic heavyweight, with more durability and ruggedness, than Barnett or Brzeski. He can eat punishment while moving forward and use his size to smother the opposition. This could work, but Nzechukwu should be able to find paydirt with some punches to stack up points. He has also shown that he can get some leverage in the clinch. Nzechukwu to win via submission.
^If you’re interested in doing some wagering on the undercards, we have a couple of picks for you there as well.
Luis Gurule (10-0, 0-0 UFC, -218) vs Ode’ Osbourne (12-8, 4-6 UFC, +180)
Should be an interesting UFC debut for Gurule. He’s a wrestler with the build of a bowling ball, and his career so far has consisted of walking down his opponents and either beating them with his wrestling or dealing out punishment with his striking.
The flyweight division has some elite athletes, so Gurule could face a fairly low ceiling without making some adjustments, and Osbourne is an interesting initial test due to his unusual blend of speed and size for this division. He has knockout power but also has the mobility to pick opponents apart.
However, when opponents find a way to track him down, he has a hard time escaping. He has gotten tapped out by above-average grapplers, and if his opponent can slow things way down, he has struggled a bit. Gurule is stockier and slower than the average UFC fighter, which could allow Osbourne to pick up points at will through the striking game. Osbourne to win via decision.
^Daniel Santos (12-2, 2-1 UFC, -162) vs Davey Grant (16-7, 7-6 UFC, +136)
The next fight in what has become an entertaining career for Grant. He has an unusual striking technique which means he can do more damage than he would with a more orthodox approach, and his ground game is also underrated. He has lost to fighters with superior technique or athleticism, such as Daniel Marcos, Adrian Yanez and Marlon Vera, but even when he ends up on the wrong end of a decision, his aggressiveness and stamina leave a lot of damage on his opponents.
Santos has been out of action for almost two years but is known for bringing pressure from the opening bell, and he can make that pressure last for three rounds. Julio Arce was able to avoid the pressure and stack up points, but John Castaneda tried to beat him at his own game and ended up on the wrong end of a knockout. In his win over Johnny Munoz Jr, Santos switched gears and used a solid wrestling game. Both of these guys can both deliver and eat punishment. Given the even nature of this fight, I’m going with the value. Grant to win via decision.
^Alone at the top! @JoshEmmettUFC is the fastest featherweight to achieve 10 knockdowns in the UFC, doing so in just 6 fights! This is TWICE as fast as second place, Jeremy Stephens, who did so in 12 fights.
— UFC (@ufc) April 3, 2025
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