We know who three of the members of this year’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Championship 4 will be, as Kevin Harvick’s win at Texas Motor Speedway earned him a spot, alongside Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. There are five other eligible drivers left who will be scrapping for that last spot this weekend at Phoenix International Speedway, as the Can-Am 500 is set for Sunday afternoon, with the action to start at 2:30pm Eastern time on NBC. The five other drivers who are still alive are Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin and Brad Keselowski. Keselowski won it all in 2012 and has three victories this year. Johnson is the defending champion but has had a disappointing 2018 so far. However, one win could erase a year of suffering. Hamlin was the runner-up for the title in 2010. Elliott and Blaney are still quite new to the sport but have come on strong to surprise many observers. Who will win this weekend? Take a look at our auto racing odds and our thoughts about several drivers you should consider with your wagering.
2018 Can-Am 500 Odds & Preview
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Driver Odds to Win the 2018 Can-Am 500
- Kevin Harvick +175
- Kyle Busch +375
- Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr +700
- Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson +1000
- Clint Bowyer, Denny Hamlin +1200
- Aric Almirola, Erik Jones, Joey Logano, Kurt Busch +2000
- Ryan Blaney +2200
- FIELD (any driver not on this list) +2800
- Jimmie Johnson +5000
- Alex Bowman, Daniel Suarez +6000
- Austin Dillon +10000
Joey Logano has had as much consistency in this playoff run as anyone else in the whole series, and he has averaged second place in his last two starts. Phoenix International Speedway has been kind to him, as he won on this track two years ago and has cracked the top ten on many other occasions. With that high moneyline, he’s definitely someone to put on your wager card.
Kurt Busch has driven under the radar for the majority of the season but has four top-ten finishes in his last six starts. At the Can-Am 500, he has five top-10 finishes in his last six races, and he has six top-10 finishes in his last eight races at Phoenix International Speedway. Busch also offers significant value but is not as dark of a horse as those odds might suggest.
Jimmie Johnson is the defending cup champion, and if there is ever going to be a time for him to snap out of his epic winless streak, this will be it. He has won the Can-Am 500 three times, so even though he only has one top-10 result in his last five races, it’s hard to argue against him too. That moneyline is so large that it’s almost foolish not to add him to your wager card, just because of the massive payoff a Johnson win would bring.
Martin Truex Jr has finished in the top 10 in three straight races, and he has finished in the top 10 in two of his last five Can-Am 500 appearances. He hasn’t gotten the checkered flag in some time, but as consistently as he has been racing, and given the fact that he still could break into the Championship 4, it’s difficult to leave him off. Did you know that Truex is the only driver in the whole circuit who is averaging a finish better than 10th place through all 34 races? His average, 9.9, is the best.
Kevin Harvick is the favorite, which means his value will be low, but he won last week and has won the Can-Am 500 four times in his career. He has a 10-race streak at Phoenix International Speedway in which he has finished sixth or better. With the current hot streak and his performance record at this track, you have to give him strong consideration.