The World Series reaches Game Four on Saturday night from Houston; at this writing, it sits at one game apiece, as the Dodgers stifled the Astros, 3-1, in the series opener, but the Astros came back from a similar 3-1 deficit against the Dodgers’ bullpen in Game Two, erupting to take a 7-6 win in eleven innings. The series moves to Houston for Game Three on Friday night and then to Game Four on Saturday. In Game Three, the Dodgers will send Yu Darvish to the mound, while the Astros, will send Lance McCullers Jr. out to start the game. Los Angeles has yet another starter with crazy-hot numbers to go on Saturday night opposite the Astros’ Charlie Morton. Will the series be even after Saturday night? Or will one of the two teams be on the brink of elimination? Take a look at our World Series odds preview for this matchup.
Dodgers at Astros World Series Game 4 Odds & MLB Betting Pick
— MLB (@MLB) October 28, 2017
When: Saturday, October 28, 2017, 8:20pm ET
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Radio: ESPN Radio
Live Stream: MLB.tv
World Series Odds: Houston Astros -140
Pitching Matchup: Alex Wood (16-3, 2.72 ERA) (LA) vs Charlie Morton (14-7, 3.62 ERA) (HOU)
- Clear: 13°C/56°F
- Humidity: 31%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 0%
- Wind: 8 mph NNW
- Stadium Type: Retractable
Why should you bet on the Dodgers?
Alex Wood had a tremendous start to the 2017 season for the Dodgers, but shoulder inflammation landed him on the disabled list a couple of times, and he did not look nearly as dominant in his NLCS start against the Chicago Cubs. While he had solid control, fanning seven batters while walking none, he came out after 4 ⅔ innings, having permitted three solo shots. He took the loss in a 3-2 decision. Expect the Dodger bullpen to have to pitch four or five innings in this game, which could push their endurance depending on how long Yu Darvish can last in Game Three the night before.
The Dodgers should also get to the Astros’ bullpen relatively early too. Charlie Morton did pick up a solid win in Game Seven of the ALCS against New York, but he only threw five innings in that game. He only permitted a pair of hits and struck out five, but that only raised his ALCS record to 1-1, as he took the loss in Game Three. With as many big bats as the Dodgers have, they need to make hay against the back end of the Houston rotation, with Dallas Keuchel likely looming in Game Five.
Why should you put your money on the Astros?
As of this writing, Houston still has yet to lose at home in this postseason (with Game Three set to come on Friday night). However, they need a better effort out of Morton than they got in Game Three of the ALCS, when he permitted seven runs (all earned) in 3 ⅔ innings in an 8-1 Yankee rout. He pitched decently against Boston in the ALDS, going 4 ⅓ innings and permitting just two earned runs in a game that Houston would win but would result in a no-decision for Morton.
The Astros also could benefit from a loss of confidence in that Dodger bullpen. They had been one of the toughest relief corps in MLB all season until things fell apart in Game Two and Houston escaped Chavez Ravine with a win. The bats of Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa have been red-hot at Minute Maid Park this season, and with a lefty on the hill in Wood, those two righties should have some chances at pitches they can drive. If you like the Astros, you think that Wood will still have too much rust to pitch in dominant fashion and that Houston will slug their way to a win.
Latest World Series Betting Trends
- Dodgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
- Dodgers are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games
- The total went UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 8 games on the road
- Astros are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home
- Astros are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
- The total went UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
I’m worried about the way Alex Wood has pitched since returning from that shoulder injury. I see this turning into an offensive firework show, and I see the Astros winning, 9-7.