In both Games One and Two of this World Series, the sixth inning saw Dodgers hitter Chris Taylor come to the plate with two outs — and draw a walk. In Game One, Justin Turner came up next and belted a two-run home run, leading the Dodgers to a 3-1 win. Game Two, Joc Pederson came up next…and belted a two-run homer. The difference in Game Two, of course, is that the Astros were able to battle back against the Dodgers’ bullpen, a unit that many had seen as almost impossible to crack. But the Astros’ bats did it, and then an offensive frenzy broke out, ending in a 7-6 Houston win in 11 innings. So, who will have the World Series odds in their favor in Game 3?
LA Dodgers at Houston World Series Game 3 Odds & Pick
What a game that was.
— MLB (@MLB) October 26, 2017
When: Friday, October 27, 2017, 8:09pm ET
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Radio: ESPN Radio
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: Astros -115
Pitching Matchup: Yu Darvish (10-12, 3.86 ERA) (LA) vs Lance McCullers Jr. (7-4, 4.25 ERA) (HOU)
Why should you bet on the Dodgers?
Yu Darvish makes his first career start in a World Series. His postseason career had been rocky coming into this postseason, as the Toronto Blue Jays shelled him in the 2016 ALDS when he was pitching with the Texas Rangers. However, he has made two starts in this postseason for the Dodgers, fanning 14 men and permitting just a pair of runs overall. It is Darvish’s knee-buckling curve ball that makes him such a dominant strikeout pitcher, and if he can avoid from leaving fastballs out over the plate, he should pitch well against Houston. Aftera ll, of the Houston regulars, only George Springer (.333, 2 HR, 3 RBI) has a career average against Darvish that is higher than .222, and only five Astros have career averages of .200 or better against the Dodgers’ hurler.
Only six of the Dodgers’ hitters have ever faced Lance McCullers Jr., but they have fared well in limited action. Andre Ethier (3 for 3), Enrique Hernandez (1 for 2), Yasiel Puig (2 for 3) and Chase Utley (1 for 3) have all found pitches to hit against the Astros’ righty. If you like the Dodgers, then you see them bouncing back from seeing the Astros come back. In a sense, moving to the American League park actually helps the National League team, because they get to add a designated hitter to their lineup, when they are used to having their pitcher in their batting order.
Why should you put your money on the Astros?
Well, the Houston Astros are undefeated at home in these playoffs, winning both games at Minute Maid in the ALDS against Boston and all four at home against the Yankees in the ALCS. Their bats wake up at home, and opposing pitching staffs have a hard time dealing with the onslaught. However, Carlos Correa and George Springer are the only two Astros who have ever homered off Darvish — and they’ve seen him plenty of times, with the amount of time that Darvish spent with Texas — one of the Astros’ foes in the AL West.
McCullers pitched four innings of shutout relief in Game Seven against the Yankees, and he pitched 10 innings overall in the ALCS, permitting just a single run on three hits, striking out nine batters. If you like the Astros, you see them getting to Darvish early while their own third starter limits the Dodgers’ lineup.
Latest World Series Betting Trends
- LA Dodgers are 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
- LA Dodgers are 10-2 SU in the last 12 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games
- Houston is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games
- Houston is 14-6 SU in the last 20 games
- The total went UNDER in 9 of Houston’s last 13 games at home
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction for World Series Game 3
The Astros do have a powerful offense — the highest scoring in MLB — especially at home. However, I see Darvish delivering another performance worthy of an ace in Game Three, while the Dodgers break through against McCullers and the Astros’ bullpen. So while the Astros may have seized home field advantage now, my money is on the Dodgers to win Game Three by the score of 5-2 and put the pressure back on Houston.