Who's favored to Win the US Open 2024? Check out our Expert Analysis for Men's & Women's Tournament

Who’s favored to Win the US Open 2024? Check out our Expert Analysis for Men’s & Women’s Tournament

Written by on August 23, 2024

Monday marks the beginning of the final Tournament of the Grand Slam, which will run through September 8. Are you ready to know the US Open Odds and win?

The defending champions in the singles draws (Coco Gauff and Novak Djokovic) are both back, looking to repeat, although neither one of those is the sports betting favorite.

Djokovic looks to continue the momentum he built at the Paris Games, where he won his first Olympic gold medal.

Gauff, on the other hand, is looking to forget the struggles that bounced her out of the singles, women’s doubles and mixed doubles brackets in the early rounds.

Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek are the top men’s and women’s singles seeds at the U.S. Open, respectively.

Let’s check out the updated contender odds in the men’s and women’s singles draws as well as some thoughts about your smart picks.

Tennis Betting Analysis: Updated US Open Odds, Favorites and Longshots

 

Men’s Singles Odds to Win

Is the men’s singles draw more wide-open than usual? Jannik Sinner has a doping controversy swirling around him.

Novak Djokovic is 37 years old and is recovering from knee surgery. Yes, he won the Olympic tournament, but he hasn’t won an ATP-sanctioned event in 2024. Carlos Alcaraz has an unusual two-match losing streak.

It is true that this Big Three of the game have, among them, won the last nine majors.

But is Alexander Zverev not yet ready to end his run of disappointing finishes?

Isn’t Daniil Medvedev ready to win a bracket that includes all of the top competitors in the game?

Singles US Open Odds to Win

  • Carlos Alcaraz +165
  • Novak Djokovic +186
  • Jannik Sinner +255
  • Alexander Zverev +600
  • Daniil Medvedev +1250
  • Andrey Rublev +2700
  • Taylor Fritz +4100
  • Holger Rune +4900
  • Ben Shelton +5600
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +5800
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Sinner did win in Cincinnati. He also did fail two drug tests early in 2024, even though he was then exonerated.

Djokovic has won 12 of his last 13 matches, with his only loss in that stretch coming at the Wimbledon final, where Alcaraz ran him out in straight sets.

Alcaraz won the French Open and Wimbledon and now looks to win the three summer majors, a feat that Federer and Djokovic have never done in one calendar year, and that Rafael Nadal last accomplished in 2010.

His loss to Gael Monfils in the first round of Cincinnati was, as he described it, the “worst match” of his career.

Zverev is frustrating to watch, because he will build commanding leads in matches before falling apart at the end. He was up two sets to love at Wimbledon before collapsing.

He lost in the final at Hamburg (his home town) in a tiebreaker on the third set. That disappointment builds and affects a player’s mental stability under pressure.

A dark horse here would be Andrey Rublev, who beat Jannik Sinner in Montreal.

He lost to him in Cincinnati, but the existence of the win is a solid plus. Now, he has to do it in a best-of-five format.

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Women’s Singles Odds to Win

On the women’s side, Iga Swiatek has been dominating the game in recent years, although more so in Australia and France than at the U.S. Open.

She won here in 2022 but lost in the fourth round here last year. She was also upset in the semifinals of the Olympics women’s singles but bounced back to take bronze.

Since April 2022, she’s basically been ranked #1 nonstop. She has a perfect 5-0 record in Grand Slam finals – the trick is just getting there.

Aryna Sabalenka has won two Grand Slam titles on hardcourt surfaces, but both of those were at the Australian Open (2-23 and 2024).

She made the final at the U.S. Open last year and the semifinals in each of the two previous years.

Coco Gauff became the first American teenager to win a U.S. Open since 1999, when Serena Williams did it.

She also won at Washington and Cincinnati last year (hardcourt warmup tournaments). However, losses in the fourth at Wimbledon, the third at the Olympics, the second round at Toronto and the very first round at Cincinnati are not promising.

Qinwen Zheng has never won a major but made the final at the Australian Open at the start of this year. She also beat Iga Swiatek at the semifinals in the Olympics, so she’s a darker horse on the rise.

Singles US Open Odds to Win

  • Iga Swiatek +100
  • Jessica Pegula +310
  • Mirra Andreeva +600
  • Danielle Collins +720
  • Emma Raducanu +1050
  • Diana Shnaider +1250
  • Liudmila Samsonova +1825
  • Katie Boulter +3100
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +3800
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US Open Odds, August 15, 2024
 

The Summer Games in Paris added even more excitement to pro tennis in 2024, and now that the Olympics are in the books, it’s time to see the US Open Odds.

We’d already seen Carlos Alcaraz blow Novak Djokovic out of the Wimbledon final in straight sets, only for Djokovic to get payback in the gold-medal men’s singles match in Paris, prevailing 7-6 (3), 7-6 (2) to solidify his career Golden Slam.

Both of these elite players will show up at the end of August in Flushing Meadows for the U.S. Open, the last Grand Slam event in 2024.

Because it comes right before the NFL season and during the opening weeks of college football, the U.S. Open is one of the last popular sports betting events during the summer.

Let’s look at the odds for victory in the men’s and women’s singles draws.

Dominate your US Open Bets with our Expert Analysis and Picks | Tennis Odds

ATP US Open Odds 2024 – Top 5 Men’s Singles to Win

  • Carlos Alcaraz +133
  • Novak Djokovic +191
  • Jannik Sinner +220
  • Daniil Medvedev +530
  • Alexander Zverev +1550

A Djokovic-Alcaraz meeting at the U.S. Open would be their ninth showdown. Djokovic leads the rivalry, 5-3, but he has won both of their matches on hardcourt.

Their first hardcourt match was at the final of the ATP Cincinnati Open last year, when Djokovic dropped the opening set, 5-7, and needed tiebreakers to win the second and third.

At the Nitto ATP Finals, Djokovic rolled, 6-3, 6-2. They have split their last two matches, but Wimbledon came on grass, while the Olympic final was played on clay.

Expect these two to appear on opposite ends of the draw, making a semifinal the earliest likely meeting.

Beyond those two, Daniil Medvedev is an interesting value pick. He knocked off top-seeded Jannik Sinner at Wimbledon before falling to Alcaraz in the semifinal.

It’s interesting that Rafael Nadal shows up so high on the odds list after he said to reporters at the Olympics that he thought he would skip the U.S. Open.

He has won four titles at this tournament, but he’s 38, and he hasn’t been playing up to his championship form.


WTA US Open Odds 2024 – Top 5 Women’s Singles to Win

  • Aryna Sabalenka +300
  • Iga Swiatek +300
  • Elena Rybakina +690
  • Coco Gauff +740
  • Naomi Osaka +980

Iga Swiatek despite dominating women’s tennis recently, she suffered an unexpected early exit at the Olympics, losing to 21-year-old Zheng Qinwen. Anticipate her arriving in New York motivated to begin a new winning streak after her 21-match run was halted.

Zheng became the first Chinese player to take gold at an Olympics in tennis singles after beating Donna Vekic in the final.

That run of momentum makes her an interesting value pick at the U.S. Open, although the surface is different.

Naomi Osaka has won the U.S. Open twice, but this is her first appearance here since 2022, when she lost via upset to Danielle Collins in the first round two years ago.

Her last Grand Slam title came in 2021, when she won the Australian Open (also played on hardcourt). Coco Gauff is the defending champion and looks to become the first back-to-back women’s singles champ since Serena Williams.

Gauff should also have plenty of motivation after washing out of the third round of the singles and the second round of the doubles at the Olympics.

 
US Open Odds, July 30, 2024
 

What are the US Open Odds for this Season? In 2023, the U.S. Open men’s singles final pitted Novak Djokovic against Daniil Medvedev. Djokovic breezed to a straight-set win, giving him four wins at the U.S. Open and 24 singles major titles.

The last time an American made it to the final at Flushing Meadows was 2006, when Andy Roddick pulled it off.

The days of Andre Agassi and Pete Sampras, and John McEnroe before them, playing tennis at a dominant level for the United States are in the past.

Ben Shelton made it to the semifinals a year ago, but he could not stop Djokovic.

The women’s singles draw last year had a higher chance of two American women in the final, as both Coco Gauff and Madison Keys made the semifinals, but only Gauff advanced as Keys fell to Aryna Sabalenka.

Could the U.S. Open Feature an All-American Final? | Tennis Odds

If you really want to see an all-American final, then you’ll want to look at the doubles matchups.

For sports betting enthusiasts who want to see an all-American final, look at some of the best opportunities based on last year’s action.

 

Women’s Doubles

Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula make a solid pair of singles players, but they are still working their way toward elite performance as a doubles team. They got to the quarterfinals at the U.S. Open last year but fell in three close sets.

They also got flushed early in the second round of the 2024 Olympics, losing to Czech players Karolína Muchová and Linda Noskova in three sets.

Furthermore, they won the opener, 6-2. After a rain delay, though, they lost the second set, 4-6, and the third, 10-5.

Pegula had already crashed out of the singles draw, falling in the second round, and Gauff lost early in the singles, doubles and mixed doubles draws, giving her a frustrating Olympics overall.

WTA US Open Odds 2024 – Top 5 Winners

  • Iga Swiatek +280
  • Aryna Sabalenka +285
  • Coco Gauff +550
  • Elena Rybakina +710
  • Naomi Osaka +870
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Men’s Doubles

There wasn’t an all-American men’s doubles team that you could call a contender at the 2023 U.S. Open.

The team of Austin Krajicek and Rajeev Ram, though, have earned some fame at the 2024 Summer Games by sending Carlos Alcaraz and Rafael Nadal home from the Olympics, beating them in the men’s doubles quarterfinals.

Ram, 40 years old, spoke after the match of the differences between doubles and singles matches. Both of these Americans are world-class players in doubles tennis and have played in Davis Cup matches the last two years.

On the pro tour, though, they have different partners, so it would require a major switch for them to play together at Flushing Meadows.

Ram has teamed with Great Britain’s Joe Salisbury, in fact, to win the last three U.S. Opens, and Krajicek won the 2023 French Open with Croatian Ivan Dodig.

ATP US Open Odds 2024 – Top 5 Winners

  • Carlos Alcaraz +135
  • Novak Djokovic +186
  • Jannik Sinner +222
  • Daniil Medvedev +530
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
^
 

Mixed Doubles

Austin Krajicek and Jessica Pegula were the top-seeded mixed doubles team at the 2023 U.S. Open, but they lost to unseeded Harri Heliovaara and Anna Danilina, 6-3, 6-4.

No all-American mixed doubles pair has won the U.S. Open in 13 years. The other seeded mixed doubles teams in last year’s Open had American women, but the men were from other countries.

So for now it looks like an all-American final at the U.S. Open is most likely in the women’s singles draw, if Madison Keys and Coco Gauff can both get there.

The pairings in doubles don’t currently favor an all-American final, and the men’s singles standings don’t make the likes of Ben Shelton squaring off with Taylor Fritz likely at all.

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